Tennis · resolved market
Nottingham 3: Lui Maxted vs Antoine Ghibaudo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0249a126d470cca8d53d985144b5149bafadda0680cac8de6962b9e1171be90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lui Maxtedof Lui Maxted, Antoine Ghibaudo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,507
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,805
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,507 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Antoine Ghibaudo | 53c | 2,557$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.2 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lui Maxted | 43c | 2,246$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.2 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Lui Maxted | 53c | 1,564$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.58 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 57c | 1,533$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.21 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 60c | 1,000$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.75 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Lui Maxted | 71c | 798.33$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.94 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Lui Maxted | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Lui Maxted | 46c | 599.93$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.75 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Lui Maxted | 43c | 594.53$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.75 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Lui Maxted | 44c | 516.25$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.76 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Antoine Ghibaudo | 55c | 468.9$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.36 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 38c | 427.63$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.31 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 54c | 363.46$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.98 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Antoine Ghibaudo | 54c | 361.45$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.97 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Antoine Ghibaudo | 44c | 306.72$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.43 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Lui Maxted | 44c | 278$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.4 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 29c | 270$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.95 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 34c | 202.01$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.48 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Lui Maxted | 62c | 187.57$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.1 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Antoine Ghibaudo | 56c | 179.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 60c | 159.31$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.59 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 34c | 146.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.54 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Lui Maxted | 64c | 145.55$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.4 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Lui Maxted | 40c | 141$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 389 | 52.2%203 W · 186 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…d29fbacked Antoine Ghibaudo | 61c | 131.58$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 306 | 42.2%129 W · 177 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Antoine Ghibaudo | 34c | 128.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Antoine Ghibaudo | 34c | 114.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Antoine Ghibaudo | 46c | 104$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Lui Maxted | 43c | 103.49$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Lui Maxted | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.18 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Lui Maxted | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.12 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Lui Maxted | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.14 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Lui Maxted | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.8 | 354 | 57.3%203 W · 151 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Lui Maxted | 56c | 98.53$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.78 | 174 | 36.8%64 W · 110 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Lui Maxted | 43c | 92.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.9 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 37c | 88.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Lui Maxted | 46c | 83.83$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.69 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Lui Maxted | 41c | 80.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.42 | 472 | 51.3%242 W · 230 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2f…ad33backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 38c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Antoine Ghibaudo | 42c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +205.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 35c | 68.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 55c | 68.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Lui Maxted | 64c | 66.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Lui Maxted | 76c | 66.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -21.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Antoine Ghibaudo | 52c | 65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 53c | 60.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbe…f8d9backed Lui Maxted | 46c | 59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lui Maxted | 67c | 58.08$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Antoine Ghibaudo | 40c | 51.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Antoine Ghibaudo | 51c | 49.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Lui Maxted | 40c | 47.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Lui Maxted | 41c | 40.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Lui Maxted | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 47c | 37.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…bfdfbacked Antoine Ghibaudo | 46c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -24.1wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…f5b0backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 52c | 34.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 469 | 57.6%270 W · 199 L | +32.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Lui Maxted | 41c | 34.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Lui Maxted | 46c | 33.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 205 | 66.8%137 W · 68 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…71e0backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 42c | 30.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Lui Maxted | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Lui Maxted | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 35c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 54c | 29.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Antoine Ghibaudo | 55c | 28.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 586 | 65.5%384 W · 202 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 35c | 28.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 434 | 44.9%195 W · 239 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 55c | 27.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 54c | 25.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 59c | 24.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Lui Maxted | 43c | 24.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Lui Maxted | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.