Tennis · resolved market
Philadelphia: Jaeda Daniel vs Kylie Collins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd054e1ddc4aad9f90bfa5656d584bb9ec1f66d2cf109e474d87161d6b13a9516
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kylie Collinsof Jaeda Daniel, Kylie Collins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Kylie Collins | 78c | 2,624$2,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.37 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jaeda Daniel | 7c | 2,538$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.63 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Jaeda Daniel | 22c | 2,235$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.8 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Jaeda Daniel | 22c | 1,422$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.76 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Jaeda Daniel | 15c | 1,291$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.11 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kylie Collins | 79c | 1,063$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.67 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Jaeda Daniel | 5c | 885.9$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Jaeda Daniel | 22c | 643.58$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.05 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Jaeda Daniel | 8c | 236.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 274 | 48.5%133 W · 141 L | +24.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Jaeda Daniel | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Jaeda Daniel | 22c | 90.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kylie Collins | 77c | 90$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Kylie Collins | 78c | 83.33$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 392 | 54.1%212 W · 180 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Jaeda Daniel | 22c | 80.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 306 | 44.1%135 W · 171 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Kylie Collins | 78c | 23.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 553 | 47.6%263 W · 290 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Kylie Collins | 78c | 21.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Kylie Collins | 78c | 17.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Kylie Collins | 78c | 16.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Kylie Collins | 77c | 15.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Kylie Collins | 78c | 13.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.91 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.