MLB · resolved market
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd078579c47eba77bd315e0051ccbb96e26bebc33b134010d151ab628e71cd023
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Angelsof Seattle Mariners, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,457
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,114
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,457 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 3,989$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.35 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Mariners | 16c | 3,331$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.65 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 1,993$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.64 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Seattle Mariners | 48c | 1,642$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.93 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Seattle Mariners | 20c | 1,530$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.14 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 1,314$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.02 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 1,121$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.9 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 562$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.38 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Seattle Mariners | 45c | 507.56$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.4 | 143 | 28.7%41 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Los Angeles Angels | 76c | 498.01$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.52 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…12d0backed Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 485$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.5 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 430.63$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.3 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 373.73$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.44 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Los Angeles Angels | 77c | 276.29$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.9 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Los Angeles Angels | 78c | 255.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.85 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Los Angeles Angels | 77c | 250.47$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 200$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 190.37$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.19 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Seattle Mariners | 7c | 176.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 174.59$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.3 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Seattle Mariners | 13c | 155.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 155.2$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.6 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Los Angeles Angels | 74c | 154.41$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.58 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 74c | 154.34$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.51 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Los Angeles Angels | 74c | 154.34$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.51 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 152.31$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.02 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Los Angeles Angels | 74c | 151.16$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…4fd0backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 128.59$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.01 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Los Angeles Angels | 79c | 126$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Los Angeles Angels | 79c | 122.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Seattle Mariners | 48c | 119.97$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.58 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 69c | 115.42$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Los Angeles Angels | 76c | 105.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 314 | 46.8%147 W · 167 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 104.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf91a…4ea7backed Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 98.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.51 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…1483backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Seattle Mariners | 29c | 81.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Seattle Mariners | 22c | 76.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Seattle Mariners | 43c | 71.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 69.84$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 312 | 50%156 W · 156 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Los Angeles Angels | 66c | 59.58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Los Angeles Angels | 66c | 59.58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 294 | 50.7%149 W · 145 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 466 | 59.7%278 W · 188 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 49.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 48.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 47.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 45.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e1…23d9backed Seattle Mariners | 25c | 42.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 27cpaid | +120.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 41.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 478 | 48.5%232 W · 246 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 72c | 41.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 326 | 47.9%156 W · 170 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 38.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 38.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 330 | 51.8%171 W · 159 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 31.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Los Angeles Angels | 77c | 31.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 29.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 28.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 28.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 28.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 28.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 28.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 238 | 51.3%122 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba2…f46bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 28.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 28.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 28.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 26.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 76c | 20.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7335…dd65backed Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 79c | 17.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…7685backed Los Angeles Angels | 79c | 14.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)this page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles AngelsLos Angeles Angels won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 13.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.