MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94fbdc53f42c192d915845625f7e5c9b76a61831754eccd58c1527a6add94e15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,156
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,182
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,156 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Under | 55c | 100,000$55,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,999.96 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Over | 45c | 26,302$11,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,466.32 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 42cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 45c | 23,660$10,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,012.92 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 45c | 21,436$9,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,789.58 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 45c | 14,743$6,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,108.59 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 45c | 8,278$3,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,552.63 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Over | 45c | 2,534$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 57c | 2,354$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.73 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 39c | 1,852$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.91 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 57c | 1,461$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.48 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 54c | 1,165$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.07 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 45c | 1,053$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.18 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 56c | 1,052$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.63 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 898$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.12 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 43c | 856.85$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.14 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 683.1$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.7 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 46c | 648$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.92 | 143 | 28.7%41 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 45c | 644.99$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.74 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 47c | 535.6$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.87 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Over | 58c | 504.01$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.57 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…15b9backed Under | 54c | 486.2$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.55 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 45c | 483.5$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.93 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 46c | 439.93$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.1 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 58c | 410.21$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.57 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 43c | 319.23$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.96 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Over | 47c | 267.8$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.93 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 44c | 251.85$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.04 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 56c | 251.08$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.38 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Over | 47c | 228.34$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.86 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -5.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 226.38$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.54 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Over | 43c | 218.8$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.13 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 216.22$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.76 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc626…2beabacked Under | 54c | 216.09$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.69 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.5wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Over | 54c | 194.96$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.68 | 283 | 50.2%142 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 45c | 156.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.95 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Over | 45c | 146.19$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 44c | 138.79$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.58 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over | 47c | 112.31$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.52 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9a…4d42backed Over | 45c | 110$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Over | 47c | 102.84$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 53c | 70.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 56c | 64.01$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 44c | 62.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 45c | 58.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 55c | 57.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 55c | 57.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 55c | 57.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 294 | 50.7%149 W · 145 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 55c | 57.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 55c | 57.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 46c | 55.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 45c | 48.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 44c | 48.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 45c | 45.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…c2e9backed Over | 46c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 56c | 38.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Over | 47c | 37.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 55c | 35.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8c…880abacked Under | 55c | 34.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 46c | 34.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Over | 59c | 34.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 55c | 32.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Under | 55c | 32.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 57c | 31.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Over | 48c | 30.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 45c | 30.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd35e…a1e8backed Over | 47c | 25.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Under | 56c | 25.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 56c | 25.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 56c | 25.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 44c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…30b9backed Under | 52c | 22.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 61c | 20.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 54c | 19.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Over | 58c | 19.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 167 | 34.7%58 W · 109 L | -17.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5this page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles AngelsLos Angeles Angels won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 13.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.