Tennis · resolved market
ITF Bistrita: Franco Ribero vs Robert Guna
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0aa7058e6470244fc0ab1a2e2cb98c1989028bba17edcd493d99af31dd14218
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Robert Gunaof Franco Ribero, Robert Guna
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3ab0…0a44backed Robert Guna | 70c | 2,971$2,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.17 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Franco Ribero | 30c | 1,210$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Franco Ribero | 30c | 419$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.24 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Franco Ribero | 33c | 343.18$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.78 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Franco Ribero | 32c | 327$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.74 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Franco Ribero | 50c | 282$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.74 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Robert Guna | 64c | 221.12$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.99 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Franco Ribero | 28c | 216.35$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.64 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Franco Ribero | 47c | 213.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Franco Ribero | 27c | 212.05$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.25 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…668abacked Robert Guna | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Franco Ribero | 28c | 127.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Robert Guna | 51c | 123.18$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.11 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Franco Ribero | 10c | 102.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Franco Ribero | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Robert Guna | 73c | 71.23$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Franco Ribero | 35c | 55.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Robert Guna | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Robert Guna | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Robert Guna | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Robert Guna | 55c | 52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 394 | 43.9%173 W · 221 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Franco Ribero | 48c | 46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Robert Guna | 53c | 41.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Franco Ribero | 30c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2534…3484backed Franco Ribero | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f9…3dcabacked Franco Ribero | 47c | 24.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Robert Guna | 54c | 20.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Robert Guna | 53c | 20.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 450 | 53.3%240 W · 210 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e7…1fffbacked Robert Guna | 73c | 16.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.