Tennis · resolved market
ITF Mungia-Laukariz: Sergi Perez Contri vs Joaquin Guilleme
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0bc77635ff4303b9ecaf0488b4e14f54f4810d8826ac416efb96cb241a69891
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sergi Perez Contriof Sergi Perez Contri, Joaquin Guilleme
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,653
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Sergi Perez Contri | 37c | 2,001$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.91 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Joaquin Guilleme | 63c | 1,625$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.03 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Sergi Perez Contri | 68c | 1,115$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.48 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Joaquin Guilleme | 63c | 588.97$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.6 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Joaquin Guilleme | 33c | 561.42$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.27 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Joaquin Guilleme | 65c | 292$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.41 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sergi Perez Contri | 38c | 235.33$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.11 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Joaquin Guilleme | 29c | 220$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Sergi Perez Contri | 48c | 146$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.88 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Sergi Perez Contri | 69c | 105$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…095cbacked Joaquin Guilleme | 66c | 94$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.14 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Joaquin Guilleme | 63c | 89.38$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.17 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Sergi Perez Contri | 30c | 87.87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.17 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Joaquin Guilleme | 23c | 75.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Sergi Perez Contri | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sergi Perez Contri | 40c | 49.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Joaquin Guilleme | 56c | 47.91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Joaquin Guilleme | 63c | 39.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x326d…3584backed Joaquin Guilleme | 57c | 35.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -40.4wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8d…4f5cbacked Sergi Perez Contri | 40c | 34.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sergi Perez Contri | 58c | 24.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Joaquin Guilleme | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Joaquin Guilleme | 67c | 21.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 227 | 55.1%125 W · 102 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Joaquin Guilleme | 64c | 21.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Sergi Perez Contri | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Joaquin Guilleme | 70c | 15.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Mungia-Laukariz: Sergi Perez Contri vs Joaquin Guillemethis page
- Set 1 Winner: Contri vs GuillemeGuilleme won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.