La Liga · resolved market
Spread: CD Castellón (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd10b3a1ad31f805ba8fb617ccd8afadf6f4af00291c8938e03feade33909cd1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Córdoba CFof CD Castellón, Córdoba CF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee19…555ebacked CD Castellón | 57c | 4,693$2,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,690.66 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Córdoba CF | 54c | 1,491$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.33 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Córdoba CF | 20c | 900$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.1 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Córdoba CF | 54c | 825$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.57 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Córdoba CF | 55c | 501.05$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.74 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Córdoba CF | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Córdoba CF | 54c | 412.35$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.34 | 1,577 | 51.4%811 W · 766 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Córdoba CF | 72c | 304.22$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.18 | 841 | 44.8%377 W · 464 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked CD Castellón | 46c | 284.98$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.09 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Córdoba CF | 51c | 245$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.05 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Córdoba CF | 51c | 245$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.05 | 1,045 | 47.8%500 W · 545 L | +15.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Córdoba CF | 57c | 239.92$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.17 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4c…39c0backed Córdoba CF | 8c | 221.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.53 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Córdoba CF | 68c | 208.57$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.09 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Córdoba CF | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 95 | 71.6%68 W · 27 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked CD Castellón | 28c | 154.39$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Córdoba CF | 50c | 73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Córdoba CF | 54c | 55.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked CD Castellón | 43c | 47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Córdoba CF | 54c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked CD Castellón | 29c | 39.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed CD Castellón | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed CD Castellón | 45c | 22.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Córdoba CF | 71c | 19.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Córdoba CF | 69c | 14.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 445 | 24.3%108 W · 337 L | -49.5wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CD Castellón (-1.5)this page
- CD Castellón vs. Córdoba CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CD Castellón vs. Córdoba CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Castellón vs. Córdoba CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- CD Castellón vs. Córdoba CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Castellón vs. Córdoba CF: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.