Tennis · resolved market
Vancouver: Keegan Rice vs Mark Lajal
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1304f3e39c4eecad0a372e5539eed569f299ae1993d8142d00045c73158f197
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mark Lajalof Keegan Rice, Mark Lajal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,165
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,165 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27c5…6d61backed Keegan Rice | 14c | 55,078$7,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,718 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c336backed Keegan Rice | 7c | 7,496$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.98 | 221 | 23.1%51 W · 170 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Keegan Rice | 8c | 2,775$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Keegan Rice | 31c | 2,038$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.84 | 312 | 53.2%166 W · 146 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Keegan Rice | 23c | 1,501$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mark Lajal | 79c | 1,365$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.7 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f55…2181backed Keegan Rice | 24c | 1,161$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Mark Lajal | 77c | 1,131$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Mark Lajal | 80c | 1,052$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.67 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Mark Lajal | 78c | 828$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.16 | 702 | 54.4%382 W · 320 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Keegan Rice | 24c | 676.52$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.1 | 277 | 24.9%69 W · 208 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x885b…a30dbacked Keegan Rice | 25c | 381.84$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.46 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Keegan Rice | 29c | 344.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.05 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Keegan Rice | 11c | 289.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 302 | 35.4%107 W · 195 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Mark Lajal | 75c | 281.56$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.56 | 396 | 48%190 W · 206 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83bd…3f07backed Keegan Rice | 15c | 178.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d9…b1b1backed Keegan Rice | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 507 | 36.1%183 W · 324 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Keegan Rice | 19c | 152.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Keegan Rice | 14c | 143.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 414 | 40.3%167 W · 247 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…d35bbacked Keegan Rice | 11c | 140.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 302 | 35.1%106 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Keegan Rice | 11c | 138.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 92 | 32.6%30 W · 62 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ee…027ebacked Keegan Rice | 23c | 130$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Keegan Rice | 25c | 128$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 472 | 52.1%246 W · 226 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Mark Lajal | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf039…508fbacked Keegan Rice | 16c | 124.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Keegan Rice | 21c | 97.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Keegan Rice | 28c | 68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Keegan Rice | 23c | 64.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa192…8876backed Mark Lajal | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Mark Lajal | 80c | 59.22$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbef9…aa36backed Mark Lajal | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…da40backed Mark Lajal | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 343 | 59.5%204 W · 139 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ce…069dbacked Mark Lajal | 79c | 47.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…b45dbacked Mark Lajal | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 223 | 77.6%173 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed Mark Lajal | 76c | 35.16$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 222 | 52.3%116 W · 106 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6922…c302backed Mark Lajal | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Mark Lajal | 79c | 32.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 331 | 65%215 W · 116 L | +22.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Mark Lajal | 70c | 31.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6847…f1eabacked Mark Lajal | 76c | 28.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bf…78f3backed Mark Lajal | 73c | 27.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafe3…1f2abacked Mark Lajal | 74c | 27.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 121 | 62%75 W · 46 L | -14.3wins | -0.12per pick | 74cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.