Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Collignon (-1.5) vs Skatov (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd136815e8d7aaaeaccb46200eaf4d78c5f644dfdac6b97c31954aed57d2268ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Skatovof Collignon, Skatov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,013
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,013 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Skatov | 49c | 556.86$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Skatov | 36c | 473.07$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.04 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Collignon | 51c | 427.45$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Collignon | 64c | 278.57$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.42 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…c996backed Skatov | 39c | 253.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.57 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Collignon | 51c | 202.04$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.64 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Collignon | 65c | 154.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 681 | 57.6%392 W · 289 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Skatov | 35c | 125.29$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.44 | 391 | 35.8%140 W · 251 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Collignon | 65c | 98.46$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Collignon | 61c | 87.54$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a46…c6a0backed Skatov | 40c | 83.4$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.09 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Collignon | 60c | 83.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Collignon | 60c | 68.4$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Skatov | 55c | 67.61$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…8b4dbacked Collignon | 42c | 47.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Collignon | 65c | 45.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 205 | 66.8%137 W · 68 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Collignon | 60c | 44.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x305b…cd21backed Collignon | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 550 | 59.1%325 W · 225 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Skatov | 50c | 30.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Collignon | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 245 | 46.5%114 W · 131 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Collignon | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 425 | 45.6%194 W · 231 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Collignon | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Collignon (-1.5) vs Skatov (+1.5)this page
- Collignon vs. Skatov: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Raphael Collignon vs. Timofey Skatov: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Collignon vs SkatovSkatov won
- Set 2 Winner: Collignon vs SkatovCollignon won
- Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Timofey SkatovRaphael Collignon won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.