Premier League · resolved market
Norwich City FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd13fb581ff38c3d4291abd870e43944defeedef836e49eb282832e9ff9c6fb22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,762
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,762 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 1c | 1,886$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 64c | 1,820$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.65 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…0239backed Under | 71c | 1,462$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over | 56c | 602.22$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.24 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 35c | 566.04$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.53 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 44c | 543.63$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.43 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 31c | 422.84$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.14 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…c63dbacked Over | 56c | 391.98$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 44c | 307.5$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.2 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 35c | 300$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.61 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 44c | 252.58$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.44 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 75c | 224.4$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc4…7ae7backed Under | 45c | 214.09$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.38 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 53c | 196.37$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.92 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 47c | 145$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 44c | 138.94$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.81 | 335 | 51.3%172 W · 163 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 46c | 96.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 31c | 87.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Under | 59c | 82.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd442…f946backed Over | 56c | 66.31$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3f93backed Over | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Over | 47c | 51.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 44c | 43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Over | 39c | 37.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 44c | 34.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Over | 56c | 26.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 58c | 24.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 189 | 61.9%117 W · 72 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed Under | 72c | 15.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norwich City FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 2.5this page
- Norwich City FC vs. Swansea City AFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Norwich City FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Norwich City FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Norwich City FC (-1.5)Swansea City AFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.