Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros WTA: Veronika Erjavec vs Elena Rybakina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd17c20dcd7eefa3ee554c5dfb6ab1aed3b4b484233f2031c6b910946a7c16f53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elena Rybakinaof Veronika Erjavec, Elena Rybakina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $158,950
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,950 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9367…f6bebacked Veronika Erjavec | 3c | 49,143$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.99 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Veronika Erjavec | 2c | 20,374$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.24 | 183 | 15.8%29 W · 154 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Veronika Erjavec | 3c | 15,092$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.37 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Veronika Erjavec | 3c | 11,792$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.64 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Veronika Erjavec | 3c | 4,675$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.34 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Veronika Erjavec | 3c | 3,278$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.01 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Veronika Erjavec | 3c | 2,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 123 | 22%27 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Veronika Erjavec | 3c | 1,897$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda2b…85febacked Veronika Erjavec | 3c | 1,773$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 104 | 23.1%24 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Veronika Erjavec | 6c | 1,666$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.35 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…7c31backed Veronika Erjavec | 3c | 1,607$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Veronika Erjavec | 1c | 1,370$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2f…1261backed Veronika Erjavec | 4c | 1,236$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked Veronika Erjavec | 3c | 1,204$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 327 | 32.1%105 W · 222 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Veronika Erjavec | 2c | 1,156$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Veronika Erjavec | 4c | 1,010$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Veronika Erjavec | 4c | 999.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Veronika Erjavec | 2c | 883.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 278 | 36.7%102 W · 176 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…374abacked Veronika Erjavec | 4c | 619.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…5e62backed Veronika Erjavec | 4c | 514.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 239 | 32.6%78 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fa…9611backed Veronika Erjavec | 2c | 432.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Veronika Erjavec | 3c | 431.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd261…b663backed Veronika Erjavec | 4c | 299.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Roland Garros WTA: Veronika Erjavec vs Elena Rybakinathis page
- Veronika Erjavec vs. Elena Rybakina: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.