Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd29cadfefe6666990de87fd5e17e90d56d7a94add4be4bab737aeda33a212bc9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Georgetown Hoyasof Connecticut Huskies, Georgetown Hoyas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,163
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,211
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,163 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Connecticut Huskies | 49c | 4,395$2,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,142.96 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Connecticut Huskies | 48c | 4,372$2,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,098.8 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Georgetown Hoyas | 52c | 2,634$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.92 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Georgetown Hoyas | 51c | 2,611$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.08 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Georgetown Hoyas | 52c | 2,175$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.92 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Connecticut Huskies | 47c | 1,344$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.64 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Georgetown Hoyas | 53c | 1,319$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.14 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Georgetown Hoyas | 50c | 750$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Georgetown Hoyas | 51c | 637.7$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.2 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Georgetown Hoyas | 50c | 497$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.5 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Georgetown Hoyas | 52c | 476.88$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.03 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Georgetown Hoyas | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Georgetown Hoyas | 51c | 200$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Georgetown Hoyas | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 200 | 46.5%93 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Connecticut Huskies | 6c | 184$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Georgetown Hoyas | 36c | 115.49$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.07 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed Connecticut Huskies | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Georgetown Hoyas | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f93…dd62backed Georgetown Hoyas | 54c | 44.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Georgetown Hoyas | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Georgetown Hoyas | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Georgetown Hoyas | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Georgetown Hoyas | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Connecticut Huskies | 65c | 15.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 155 | 59.4%92 W · 63 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-12.5)this page
- Connecticut Huskies vs. Georgetown HoyasConnecticut Huskies won
- Connecticut Huskies vs. Georgetown Hoyas: O/U 141.5Under won
- Connecticut Huskies vs. Georgetown Hoyas: O/U 142.5Under won
- Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-11.5)Georgetown Hoyas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.