MLB · resolved market
Rockies vs. Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd350d33a693a0abc1e51ee2a871c9293e12abe43ec172841cf16a99552c13d4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Diamondbacksof Rockies, Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,090
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Diamondbacks | 78c | 22,240$17,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,893.04 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rockies | 22c | 16,651$3,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,645.59 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684e…1717backed Rockies | 21c | 9,997$2,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf99…0bd4backed Diamondbacks | 79c | 9,997$7,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rockies | 22c | 8,627$1,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.24 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Diamondbacks | 77c | 4,926$3,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.18 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockies | 7c | 4,323$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.66 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Diamondbacks | 77c | 3,776$2,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.48 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Rockies | 22c | 3,106$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.39 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Rockies | 2c | 1,040$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockies | 22c | 1,009$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.27 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Rockies | 22c | 826.59$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.85 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Rockies | 22c | 681.82$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Diamondbacks | 79c | 674.88$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.07 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Diamondbacks | 78c | 674.75$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.44 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Diamondbacks | 78c | 484.56$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.6 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Rockies | 22c | 472.67$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.99 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a3…6ed8backed Rockies | 10c | 410$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Diamondbacks | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Diamondbacks | 80c | 312.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 114 | 63.2%72 W · 42 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rockies | 19c | 308.83$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.79 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Diamondbacks | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Diamondbacks | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rockies | 21c | 199.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Diamondbacks | 79c | 156.82$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…4036backed Diamondbacks | 80c | 150.32$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Rockies | 12c | 133.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcf…d6a9backed Diamondbacks | 78c | 122.98$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f17…f232backed Diamondbacks | 80c | 122.5$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b9…2a73backed Rockies | 22c | 109.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Diamondbacks | 80c | 76.88$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Diamondbacks | 78c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6019…8cb6backed Diamondbacks | 80c | 65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Diamondbacks | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Rockies | 19c | 62.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Diamondbacks | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Diamondbacks | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Diamondbacks | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Diamondbacks | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 153 | 62.7%96 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Diamondbacks | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e1…c293backed Diamondbacks | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…fe86backed Diamondbacks | 80c | 23.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 76cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…2f8abacked Diamondbacks | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Diamondbacks | 80c | 17.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2b…c35dbacked Diamondbacks | 79c | 15.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 72cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Diamondbacks | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.