NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd35f679035b5cea76bd45e4ec5a7e7b09776ea96ab249842a797334e520f05d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,584
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,584 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 59c | 2,095$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.96 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Under | 39c | 1,676$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.98 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Over | 61c | 899.99$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 42c | 722$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.33 | 262 | 43.5%114 W · 148 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Under | 39c | 640.45$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.78 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 63c | 541$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.88 | 303 | 49.5%150 W · 153 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 37c | 447.37$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.53 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d8…dc4abacked Under | 9c | 373.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 49c | 280.8$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 51c | 249.04$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.03 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Under | 33c | 100.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Under | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 67c | 94.23$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 55c | 86$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Under | 41c | 75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 38c | 70.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Under | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 189 | 49.2%93 W · 96 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd1…0100backed Over | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 39c | 26.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 41c | 24.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed Over | 59c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 56c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 57c | 22.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Over | 59c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd418…d11fbacked Over | 68c | 15.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa597…7e14backed Over | 74c | 15.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 76cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 74c | 14.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hurricanes vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5this page
- Hurricanes vs. CapitalsCapitals won
- Hurricanes vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Capitals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.