Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Samford Bulldogs (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd36cd6831cb899c318e78967fc2942413e94f81e4282de2e9c220b5bbf75a2eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Furman Paladinsof Samford Bulldogs, Furman Paladins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Samford Bulldogs | 47c | 139,400$65,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,477.01 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Furman Paladins | 53c | 131,760$69,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,927.32 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Furman Paladins | 55c | 3,318$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.58 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Furman Paladins | 53c | 1,510$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.7 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Furman Paladins | 54c | 1,334$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.69 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Samford Bulldogs | 44c | 707.32$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.44 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Furman Paladins | 57c | 566.04$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.4 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Furman Paladins | 54c | 263.51$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.21 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Furman Paladins | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Samford Bulldogs | 46c | 218.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Furman Paladins | 53c | 206$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.3 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Furman Paladins | 57c | 147.8$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.55 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Furman Paladins | 56c | 123.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Furman Paladins | 57c | 122.51$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.68 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Furman Paladins | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 172 | 58.7%101 W · 71 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Furman Paladins | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Furman Paladins | 54c | 82.96$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Samford Bulldogs | 46c | 82.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…f0ccbacked Furman Paladins | 56c | 70.41$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Furman Paladins | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Furman Paladins | 57c | 39.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Furman Paladins | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf861…1d14backed Furman Paladins | 55c | 34.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…8ff5backed Furman Paladins | 55c | 33.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Samford Bulldogs | 48c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Furman Paladins | 54c | 30.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Furman Paladins | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdf…7f09backed Furman Paladins | 57c | 27.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…5302backed Furman Paladins | 75c | 26.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…901bbacked Furman Paladins | 56c | 24.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Furman Paladins | 54c | 20.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…a77bbacked Furman Paladins | 56c | 18.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Samford Bulldogs (-1.5)this page
- Furman Paladins vs. Samford BulldogsFurman Paladins won
- Furman Paladins vs. Samford Bulldogs: O/U 149.5Over won
- Furman Paladins vs. Samford Bulldogs: O/U 150.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.