Other European Leagues · resolved market
Gil Vicente FC vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3ae427eb683c735cc4b0069c582d38c88f128aef839e289d173cb007942c40f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 61c | 13,868$8,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,420.46 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 39c | 5,128$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.92 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 41c | 4,362$1,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,807.19 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 39c | 2,326$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 40c | 1,791$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.99 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 1,222$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.52 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 40c | 1,140$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.6 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 55c | 1,040$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.18 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 30c | 994.67$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.44 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Over | 39c | 532.75$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.77 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 61c | 418.56$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.24 | 74 | 70.3%52 W · 22 L | +14.0wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 60c | 348.13$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.84 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 59c | 332.49$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.32 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 60c | 331.66$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.66 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Under | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 39c | 255$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.43 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e93…80d6backed Over | 21c | 224.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.37 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 41c | 165.22$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.94 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Over | 38c | 146.71$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.75 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Over | 60c | 137.15$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.29 | 133 | 62.4%83 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…b24abacked Under | 37c | 135.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.13 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -8.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6c55…4a8cbacked Over | 40c | 130.06$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 39c | 116.8$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.55 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 44c | 96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 40c | 78.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.48 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 40c | 77.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee0…4078backed Under | 78c | 76.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 60c | 74.56$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e80…6910backed Under | 50c | 68.78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.39 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Over | 50c | 68.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +4.8wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 39c | 64.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 40c | 64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 36c | 55.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 30c | 53.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 42c | 47.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf34…9e2bbacked Under | 60c | 40.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8613…2f76backed Over | 40c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…6e9bbacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 63c | 34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Under | 61c | 33.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…167dbacked Under | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Over | 40c | 27.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed Under | 70c | 25.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 67cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gil Vicente FC vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 2.5this page
- Gil Vicente FC vs. Casa Pia AC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Gil Vicente FC vs. Casa Pia AC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Gil Vicente FC vs. Casa Pia AC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Gil Vicente FC vs. Casa Pia AC: Casa Pia AC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Gil Vicente FC vs. Casa Pia AC: Gil Vicente FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Gil Vicente FC vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Gil Vicente FC vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gil Vicente FC vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gil Vicente FC vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Gil Vicente FC vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Casa Pia AC (-1.5)Gil Vicente FC won
- Spread: Gil Vicente FC (-1.5)Gil Vicente FC won
- Spread: Gil Vicente FC (-2.5)Casa Pia AC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.