Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Renata Zarazua
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4116ec9d8682c4b4b142bdd651251ac582e5c42e4dba990738bb16fa14025c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Diana Shnaiderof Diana Shnaider, Renata Zarazua
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Renata Zarazua | 3c | 14,134$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.36 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Renata Zarazua | 14c | 5,132$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.49 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Renata Zarazua | 11c | 4,050$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.23 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Renata Zarazua | 12c | 3,158$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.5 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Renata Zarazua | 13c | 3,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Renata Zarazua | 2c | 2,844$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 278 | 36.7%102 W · 176 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63f5…09ddbacked Renata Zarazua | 2c | 2,392$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 78 | 11.5%9 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Renata Zarazua | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…7c31backed Renata Zarazua | 15c | 1,556$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.38 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa363…46c8backed Renata Zarazua | 14c | 1,332$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.91 | 228 | 21.1%48 W · 180 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Diana Shnaider | 74c | 1,058$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.15 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Renata Zarazua | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Renata Zarazua | 14c | 999.94$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 379 | 44.6%169 W · 210 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Renata Zarazua | 6c | 764.25$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.55 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c87…98b1backed Renata Zarazua | 2c | 600.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 226 | 2.2%5 W · 221 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Renata Zarazua | 17c | 536.66$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.35 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Renata Zarazua | 19c | 464.72$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.64 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x529d…5b20backed Renata Zarazua | 18c | 444.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Renata Zarazua | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…d35bbacked Renata Zarazua | 25c | 397.68$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.42 | 302 | 35.1%106 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Diana Shnaider | 76c | 392.62$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.23 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Renata Zarazua | 14c | 343.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 377 | 38.2%144 W · 233 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Renata Zarazua | 17c | 317.65$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 329 | 35%115 W · 214 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…a5dfbacked Renata Zarazua | 21c | 304.8$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.94 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Renata Zarazua | 15c | 266.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Renata Zarazua | 14c | 234.01$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Renata Zarazua | 16c | 212.51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299d…18e9backed Renata Zarazua | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…5e62backed Renata Zarazua | 16c | 198.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 239 | 32.6%78 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…d0b9backed Renata Zarazua | 14c | 152.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 707 | 29.1%206 W · 501 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d43…43a7backed Renata Zarazua | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Renata Zarazua | 13c | 112.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…f108backed Renata Zarazua | 10c | 102.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 527 | 39.3%207 W · 320 L | +37.6wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Renata Zarazua | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Renata Zarazua | 19c | 77.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Renata Zarazua | 20c | 76.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Renata Zarazua | 22c | 74.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Renata Zarazua | 16c | 63.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -21.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90db…03d6backed Renata Zarazua | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Diana Shnaider | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Renata Zarazuathis page
- Set Handicap: Shnaider (-1.5) vs Zarazua (+1.5)Shnaider won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.