Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. St. Bonaventure Bonnies (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd41637781b77be5d5a7dd52e4fc20841c902d718874456aa16e927ecc097cf9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Bonaventure Bonniesof Saint Joseph's Hawks, St. Bonaventure Bonnies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd098…8c03backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 50c | 53,310$26,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,502.04 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 50c | 52,811$26,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,322.32 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 50c | 2,586$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.07 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 57c | 2,215$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.33 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 49c | 1,475$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.59 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 68c | 1,110$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 33c | 799.98$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.49 | 126 | 17.5%22 W · 104 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7527…dfd9backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 57c | 527.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e6…122ebacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 57c | 435.86$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.04 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79d1…68b3backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 15c | 355.71$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.46 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 8c | 341.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.51 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 51c | 331.73$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.96 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 49c | 320.49$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.26 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…4b9bbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 51c | 300.32$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.65 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 51c | 273.5$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.84 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 59c | 256.6$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.78 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 50c | 139.85$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.99 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…ed2bbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 51c | 87.93$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 50c | 83.59$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.88 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37cb…1952backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 27c | 73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ea…ed2ebacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 51c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…91ecbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 40c | 67.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 52c | 43.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 51c | 41.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 213 | 42.3%90 W · 123 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 48c | 35.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…104bbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 75cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 53c | 23.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…ddb2backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 52c | 23.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3554…9a2dbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeff5…0952backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 52c | 19.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.