TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Trail Blazersof Trail Blazers, Lakers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,304
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,305

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,304 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e5a…8f58backed Trail Blazers49c7,181$3,519 inWon+$3,662.176241.9%26 W · 36 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Lakers51c6,659$3,398 inLost-$3,398.132,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e9c…ab80backed Trail Blazers49c2,000$980 inWon+$1,0204158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Lakers51c1,961$1,000 inLost-$1,000.1166250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde91…f20abacked Lakers51c1,000$510 inLost-$51015745.2%71 W · 86 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Trail Blazers45c702$316 inWon+$386.147144.2%208 W · 263 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Lakers55c700$385 inLost-$38547751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Trail Blazers49c319.68$157 inWon+$163.079,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf02…38b9backed Trail Blazers48c187.5$90 inWon+$97.54847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers51c170$87 inLost-$86.76,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Trail Blazers46c165$76 inWon+$89.048,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Lakers54c165$89 inLost-$89.0459743.6%260 W · 337 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f4…7942backed Trail Blazers49c102.04$50 inWon+$52.044548.9%22 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…3363backed Lakers52c50$26 inLost-$261020%2 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-61%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2f79…7ed4backed Trail Blazers48c40$19 inWon+$20.811129.7%33 W · 78 L-9.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-24.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.