NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab08079f165c0636ddd57f04c9e54f325701d28d5ada0c60b185edf066551f81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,076
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc10…3f05backed Under | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,799.99 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Over | 51c | 17,446$8,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,548.54 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Over | 53c | 5,638$2,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,646.84 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Over | 55c | 3,964$2,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.77 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 44c | 3,392$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.28 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 46c | 2,578$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.91 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Under | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.02 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Under | 45c | 410.98$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.92 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 44c | 299.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 282.03$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.41 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Under | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbba2…eaa6backed Over | 51c | 173.51$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.02 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under | 47c | 162$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.14 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Over | 53c | 162$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.14 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…b094backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf939…2e92backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Under | 45c | 88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed Over | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 182 | 46.7%85 W · 97 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 45c | 69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…06f9backed Over | 56c | 39.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac63…a2c0backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 224.5this page
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)Trail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. LakersTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 226.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.