CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4a57101bbcf351708a5c127973fd3288863482e814cff26d7844998dc84e36e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bushido Wildcatsof Bushido Wildcats, Leo Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,238
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,759
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,238 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Leo Team | 43c | 1,249$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.61 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Leo Team | 35c | 1,028$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.49 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 58c | 799.97$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.19 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed Leo Team | 41c | 740.98$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.1 | 295 | 43.1%127 W · 168 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bushido Wildcats | 73c | 536.53$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.19 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Leo Team | 50c | 528$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.85 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bushido Wildcats | 63c | 390.54$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.91 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Leo Team | 40c | 370$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed Bushido Wildcats | 79c | 253.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.54 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Leo Team | 22c | 247.07$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.26 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27c…79e0backed Bushido Wildcats | 71c | 218.54$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 231 | 61.5%142 W · 89 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Bushido Wildcats | 63c | 181.24$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.64 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Bushido Wildcats | 75c | 179.75$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.62 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Leo Team | 20c | 174.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.13 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 59c | 150.56$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 59c | 140$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.72 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Leo Team | 39c | 131.37$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…6de0backed Leo Team | 40c | 116$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Bushido Wildcats | 54c | 111.53$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.85 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd09f…521abacked Leo Team | 39c | 106.46$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…9488backed Leo Team | 42c | 105.43$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Bushido Wildcats | 52c | 94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.78 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…085cbacked Leo Team | 56c | 89.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Bushido Wildcats | 74c | 87$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 231 | 56.3%130 W · 101 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Bushido Wildcats | 59c | 66$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a30…7039backed Leo Team | 40c | 63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…9abcbacked Leo Team | 46c | 54.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 74c | 51.02$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f4…106cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Leo Team | 31c | 49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed Leo Team | 37c | 47.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 351 | 47.9%168 W · 183 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 51c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…b55fbacked Leo Team | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Bushido Wildcats | 60c | 44.69$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Leo Team | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c0…c1fbbacked Bushido Wildcats | 63c | 39.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 87 | 65.5%57 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f46…c530backed Leo Team | 56c | 35.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Leo Team | 41c | 35.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde55…1d2abacked Leo Team | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Bushido Wildcats | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Bushido Wildcats | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…0133backed Bushido Wildcats | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Bushido Wildcats | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Leo Team (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 PlayoffsBushido Wildcats won
- Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Leo Team - Map 2 WinnerLeo Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.