TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Monza: Guy Den Ouden vs Andrea Guerrieri

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Andrea Guerrieriof Guy Den Ouden, Andrea Guerrieri
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,954
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,180

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,954 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Guy Den Ouden17c5,887$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.697,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Guy Den Ouden13c4,745$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.88,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48d…5182backed Andrea Guerrieri66c2,912$1,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.7224558.8%144 W · 101 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…ea3bbacked Guy Den Ouden54c2,028$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.7333346.2%154 W · 179 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7c32…d322backed Andrea Guerrieri49c1,970$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.412066.7%80 W · 40 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Guy Den Ouden40c1,550$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.313,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Guy Den Ouden54c1,310$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.561,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Andrea Guerrieri49c1,163$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.2752557%299 W · 226 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9a4…e730backed Andrea Guerrieri66c1,131$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.49862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f9f…2cb8backed Guy Den Ouden70c1,123$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.6515850%79 W · 79 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Andrea Guerrieri45c1,080$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.341,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4e1…d80bbacked Andrea Guerrieri46c1,065$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.288555.3%47 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Guy Den Ouden51c1,050$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.550%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Andrea Guerrieri46c1,001$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.546726.9%18 W · 49 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc521…b46abacked Guy Den Ouden54c998.47$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.6725544.7%114 W · 141 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Guy Den Ouden43c978.37$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.211,56640%627 W · 939 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x981c…306fbacked Guy Den Ouden68c721.18$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.43865.8%25 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Andrea Guerrieri79c699.87$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.82,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Andrea Guerrieri46c655.91$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.654,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4232…d505backed Guy Den Ouden72c640.45$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.1237235.2%131 W · 241 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Guy Den Ouden36c638.62$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.8227247.4%129 W · 143 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Andrea Guerrieri73c600$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16230857.1%176 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Andrea Guerrieri45c379.75$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.4211327.4%31 W · 82 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Andrea Guerrieri37c364.97$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.778,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Andrea Guerrieri47c355.31$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.363,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Guy Den Ouden56c349.69$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.094,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Guy Den Ouden28c341.71$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.681,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdca9…0898backed Andrea Guerrieri66c287.08$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.324965.1%162 W · 87 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Guy Den Ouden9c213$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.711,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Guy Den Ouden51c180.04$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.8226254.6%143 W · 119 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Andrea Guerrieri51c174.72$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.4122033.6%74 W · 146 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a80…b808backed Andrea Guerrieri45c174.06$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.739643.8%42 W · 54 L-10.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-22.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Guy Den Ouden52c173.1$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6217656.3%99 W · 77 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Andrea Guerrieri48c171.41$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.859,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22e8…8435backed Guy Den Ouden52c165.03$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.924365.1%28 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce06…c99dbacked Guy Den Ouden52c161.69$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.086365.1%41 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick58cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Guy Den Ouden47c150.65$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Guy Den Ouden32c148.56$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.262,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Guy Den Ouden13c145.82$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9675312.2%92 W · 661 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Guy Den Ouden33c140.27$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.596,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Andrea Guerrieri72c136.66$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3437071.9%266 W · 104 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Guy Den Ouden52c135.29$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5312861.7%79 W · 49 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda22…6d2abacked Guy Den Ouden13c127.43$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5735344.8%158 W · 195 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Andrea Guerrieri47c103.82$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0381047.9%388 W · 422 L+30.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe031…5c08backed Guy Den Ouden43c101.23$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.773549.8%366 W · 369 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6353…cfcbbacked Guy Den Ouden26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb2e3…4874backed Andrea Guerrieri73c96.89$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9991880.5%739 W · 179 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Guy Den Ouden40c96.4$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.569629.2%28 W · 68 L-11.4wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-29.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Guy Den Ouden30c94.35$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8648652.1%253 W · 233 L-1.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Guy Den Ouden30c94.35$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8650156.1%281 W · 220 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Guy Den Ouden30c94.35$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8641658.7%244 W · 172 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Guy Den Ouden30c94.35$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8661752.5%324 W · 293 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Guy Den Ouden30c94.35$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8639955.4%221 W · 178 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Guy Den Ouden30c94.35$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8637153.9%200 W · 171 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ccb…604ebacked Guy Den Ouden52c93.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.563161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8584…6b7dbacked Guy Den Ouden52c93.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.568258.5%48 W · 34 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Andrea Guerrieri52c81.69$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.584,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Guy Den Ouden53c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.439534.4%136 W · 259 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x963a…9112backed Guy Den Ouden30c79.88$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.23953.8%21 W · 18 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Guy Den Ouden51c69.88$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.641,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Guy Den Ouden52c67.76$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.38459.5%50 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc274…86debacked Guy Den Ouden30c66.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8349342.8%211 W · 282 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa764…7014backed Guy Den Ouden52c65.37$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.991952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe36…9413backed Guy Den Ouden42c62.88$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1631358.5%183 W · 130 L-0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Andrea Guerrieri31c62$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.832,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Guy Den Ouden53c61.22$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.452,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Andrea Guerrieri46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.429947.5%142 W · 157 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebdf…da25backed Guy Den Ouden28c56.72$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.88825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-27.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3373…50c4backed Guy Den Ouden50c53.96$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.242532%8 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Andrea Guerrieri56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.254,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked Andrea Guerrieri66c49.72$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9111759.8%70 W · 47 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Guy Den Ouden29c47.01$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7319055.3%105 W · 85 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7926…4ae5backed Guy Den Ouden52c46.69$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.281050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe777…c734backed Guy Den Ouden52c46.69$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.285959.3%35 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Guy Den Ouden52c46.66$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2619344.6%86 W · 107 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Guy Den Ouden31c43.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7663052.4%330 W · 300 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c5a…aabebacked Guy Den Ouden44c43.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.331050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked Andrea Guerrieri45c42.55$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.453457.7%308 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9e7…c067backed Guy Den Ouden72c40.97$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.58769%60 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4991…481dbacked Guy Den Ouden43c39.63$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.162060%12 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+25.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d7b…c2f4backed Andrea Guerrieri66c29.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.096065%39 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick65cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67f4…0cb2backed Andrea Guerrieri49c27.88$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.222846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Guy Den Ouden54c27.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5123758.6%139 W · 98 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Guy Den Ouden50c26.75$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.381,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Guy Den Ouden54c24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9674955.1%413 W · 336 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Guy Den Ouden53c21.28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.284,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Guy Den Ouden54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81,00145.4%454 W · 547 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Andrea Guerrieri56c19.48$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.56,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a5c…d123backed Andrea Guerrieri63c17.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.48974.2%66 W · 23 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb883…3994backed Andrea Guerrieri64c16.88$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.0821549.8%107 W · 108 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44b6…ac34backed Guy Den Ouden77c15.37$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8310353.4%55 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.