World Politics · resolved market
Will Jaime Battiste be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd51b3d7c933d2c1310825bccc2e0e764ae050f8b210e9293dfad76d2c45dd822
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,348,884
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $193,380
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,348,884 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 276 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf4b6…1f53backed Yes | 0c | 93,560$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6e…c7f1backed Yes | 0c | 91,250$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb633…732ebacked Yes | 0c | 90,700$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11ec…bccfbacked Yes | 0c | 90,670$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab6c…9e20backed Yes | 0c | 90,550$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…e590backed Yes | 0c | 90,470$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc11f…91d3backed Yes | 0c | 90,460$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e2…d344backed Yes | 0c | 90,180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6266…199fbacked Yes | 0c | 89,930$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…9d87backed Yes | 0c | 89,900$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…1af1backed Yes | 0c | 89,760$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdb…97a0backed Yes | 0c | 89,680$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c42…931cbacked Yes | 0c | 89,660$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d71…3c58backed Yes | 0c | 89,530$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb216…929cbacked Yes | 0c | 89,520$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4a…449fbacked Yes | 0c | 89,180$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…349fbacked Yes | 0c | 88,960$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e4…caabbacked Yes | 0c | 88,930$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd341…ba69backed Yes | 0c | 88,740$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6290…b3c9backed Yes | 0c | 88,460$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…2c2bbacked Yes | 0c | 88,410$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdd…6654backed Yes | 0c | 88,300$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb816…9248backed Yes | 0c | 88,060$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef0…5252backed Yes | 0c | 88,010$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82cb…83b9backed Yes | 0c | 87,950$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…3a8fbacked Yes | 0c | 87,400$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b02…08e8backed Yes | 0c | 87,330$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93d…5a6bbacked Yes | 0c | 87,220$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa290…fe53backed Yes | 0c | 87,220$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…e817backed Yes | 0c | 87,120$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd17…0559backed Yes | 0c | 87,020$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df8…e405backed Yes | 0c | 87,000$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc2…f08dbacked Yes | 0c | 86,900$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ac…9d8ebacked Yes | 0c | 86,750$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c5…c572backed Yes | 0c | 86,700$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa17c…ff4ebacked Yes | 0c | 86,670$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9387…d51abacked Yes | 0c | 86,550$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08e5…5c3ebacked Yes | 0c | 86,320$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe431…ab94backed Yes | 0c | 86,160$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21cf…4405backed Yes | 0c | 85,830$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…1537backed Yes | 0c | 85,780$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…d655backed Yes | 0c | 85,750$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7134…c4bbbacked Yes | 0c | 85,700$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ec…41dabacked Yes | 0c | 85,690$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedec…40f9backed Yes | 0c | 85,690$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec5f…c66dbacked Yes | 0c | 85,570$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…fd19backed Yes | 0c | 85,560$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83f3…7abcbacked Yes | 0c | 85,550$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33ed…a6d9backed Yes | 0c | 85,500$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e7…2088backed Yes | 0c | 85,340$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x291c…d5e1backed Yes | 0c | 85,100$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…3089backed Yes | 0c | 85,080$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9850…bf47backed Yes | 0c | 85,070$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4b…cc70backed Yes | 0c | 85,060$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e5…08edbacked Yes | 0c | 84,960$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3475…f5d9backed Yes | 0c | 84,870$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…e616backed Yes | 0c | 84,820$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb7…dc59backed Yes | 0c | 84,800$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…78f7backed Yes | 0c | 84,760$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a2…57c1backed Yes | 0c | 84,710$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfe…dfaebacked Yes | 0c | 84,680$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b5…c5eabacked Yes | 0c | 84,500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8852…a0d9backed Yes | 0c | 84,490$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff1…5b4ebacked Yes | 0c | 84,470$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd67e…4d7abacked Yes | 0c | 84,340$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95d6…b4f1backed Yes | 0c | 84,120$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb9…536cbacked Yes | 0c | 83,970$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…fc6cbacked Yes | 0c | 83,920$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x696c…a134backed Yes | 0c | 83,800$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ed…739cbacked Yes | 0c | 83,760$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2851…0958backed Yes | 0c | 83,670$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9939…d743backed Yes | 0c | 83,490$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9d…5e6fbacked Yes | 0c | 83,100$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ebf…4252backed Yes | 0c | 83,020$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f04…4331backed Yes | 0c | 82,970$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dba…a69abacked Yes | 0c | 82,840$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…cb66backed Yes | 0c | 82,690$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5f…8035backed Yes | 0c | 82,670$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dba…8337backed Yes | 0c | 82,320$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb75c…78babacked Yes | 0c | 82,170$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes | 0c | 82,121$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.12 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81cf…5e24backed Yes | 0c | 82,080$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9254…1d36backed Yes | 0c | 81,940$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f2…e707backed Yes | 0c | 81,940$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa92…4ae6backed Yes | 0c | 81,940$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d2…d119backed Yes | 0c | 81,590$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5f…8819backed Yes | 0c | 81,020$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf855…248ebacked Yes | 0c | 80,820$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…daf5backed Yes | 0c | 80,730$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…8fa9backed Yes | 0c | 80,140$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…9d0ebacked Yes | 0c | 79,530$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…de97backed Yes | 0c | 78,960$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8a…0badbacked Yes | 0c | 73,160$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9188…63d6backed Yes | 0c | 64,260$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…7ac5backed Yes | 0c | 64,110$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…8158backed Yes | 0c | 63,850$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e31…8345backed Yes | 0c | 63,700$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa67…58dbbacked Yes | 0c | 63,590$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5082…3bddbacked Yes | 0c | 63,580$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…df27backed Yes | 0c | 63,040$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jaime Battiste be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?this page
- Will Anita Anand be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?No won
- Will Chrystia Freeland be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?No won
- Will Dominic LeBlanc be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?No won
- Will Francois-Philippe Champagne be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?No won
- Will Frank Baylis be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?No won
- Will Karina Gould be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?No won
- Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?Yes won
- Will Mélanie Joly be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?No won
- Will Ruby Dhalla be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?No won
- Will Sean Fraser be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.