TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CA Lanús vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,804
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,212

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,804 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes45c1,082$486 inWon+$59666837.1%248 W · 420 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes16c1,054$167 inWon+$886.973,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No55c356.54$196 inLost-$196.11,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No56c319.98$179 inLost-$179.158,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No55c269.31$148 inLost-$148.171,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2906…555abacked No10c100$10 inLost-$102365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed No55c39.31$22 inLost-$21.6216050.6%81 W · 79 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed No56c39.22$22 inLost-$21.9523253%123 W · 109 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8613…2f76backed Yes45c32.61$15 inWon+$17.941747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No56c27.21$15 inLost-$15.242,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No75c25$19 inLost-$18.7519150.3%96 W · 95 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f53…d5abbacked No56c25$14 inLost-$142045%9 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+29.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed No80c15$12 inLost-$1221366.7%142 W · 71 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.