CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Bebop - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd58914085d3786aa2b4c6d617d5ca52ab17d86a8f4f4478a48945a72acbd8e96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bebopof Rune Eaters, Bebop
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,657
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Rune Eaters | 53c | 5,228$2,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,767.68 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bebop | 50c | 3,867$1,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932.76 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Rune Eaters | 38c | 1,462$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.95 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Bebop | 51c | 1,387$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.37 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Rune Eaters | 50c | 999.98$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.86 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Bebop | 62c | 836.23$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.02 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Rune Eaters | 45c | 753$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.15 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Bebop | 51c | 719$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.45 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Rune Eaters | 39c | 709.03$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.31 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Bebop | 57c | 639.17$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.84 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Bebop | 50c | 480.92$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.3 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Bebop | 57c | 355.37$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.45 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Bebop | 48c | 334.23$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.32 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bebop | 51c | 314.98$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.95 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Rune Eaters | 35c | 175$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Rune Eaters | 43c | 169.8$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.96 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Rune Eaters | 54c | 151.97$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.67 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Bebop | 73c | 136$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Bebop | 52c | 95.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.74 | 177 | 56.5%100 W · 77 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Bebop | 55c | 94$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Rune Eaters | 54c | 78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc559…498abacked Bebop | 67c | 71.27$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Bebop | 60c | 69.36$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef8…a4edbacked Bebop | 61c | 68.88$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +258.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Bebop | 55c | 61.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…9646backed Rune Eaters | 42c | 57.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 220 | 59.1%130 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Bebop | 56c | 57.21$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8746…2779backed Rune Eaters | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Bebop | 56c | 35.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Rune Eaters | 63c | 33.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Bebop | 64c | 23.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Bebop | 55c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Rune Eaters | 54c | 18.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Bebop | 56c | 17.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…355fbacked Bebop | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Bebop - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Play-InRune Eaters won
- Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Bebop - Map 2 WinnerRune Eaters won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.