CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Bebop - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46d7ddfa7faf429b68273eae6aa5ad714e2e3da9e8c7edc7d791cf0729ce9d98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rune Eatersof Rune Eaters, Bebop
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,518
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,518 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Bebop | 14c | 3,055$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.93 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rune Eaters | 43c | 2,674$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.85 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Bebop | 57c | 1,350$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.16 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Rune Eaters | 36c | 1,063$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.25 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Bebop | 65c | 915.04$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.6 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Rune Eaters | 45c | 879.73$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.35 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Bebop | 51c | 714.98$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.64 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Rune Eaters | 48c | 595.5$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.42 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Rune Eaters | 41c | 499.72$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.76 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Rune Eaters | 71c | 461.13$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.29 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Bebop | 48c | 374.25$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.9 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rune Eaters | 61c | 304.14$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.17 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Bebop | 57c | 215.77$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.06 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Bebop | 38c | 205.26$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Bebop | 55c | 185.56$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.23 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Rune Eaters | 53c | 171.23$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.26 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Rune Eaters | 49c | 142$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 164 | 61.6%101 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Rune Eaters | 75c | 105$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Rune Eaters | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Rune Eaters | 55c | 90.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb63…e129backed Bebop | 63c | 77.82$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Bebop | 60c | 69.36$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Bebop | 59c | 57.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Bebop | 39c | 51.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbb…75a1backed Rune Eaters | 57c | 50.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42f3…7d20backed Rune Eaters | 31c | 47.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Bebop | 41c | 47.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rune Eaters | 54c | 34.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0961…6c84backed Rune Eaters | 54c | 31.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rune Eaters | 60c | 30.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Bebop | 63c | 26.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Bebop | 47c | 24.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Bebop | 55c | 22.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Bebop | 59c | 20.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked Rune Eaters | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Bebop | 60c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 500 | 56.6%283 W · 217 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Bebop - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Play-InRune Eaters won
- Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Bebop - Map 1 WinnerBebop won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.