Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Merrimack College Warriors vs. Canisius Golden Griffins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd599539142bcb1ea25030e614663309cd618732679a94df0e440afa335a0879d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canisius Golden Griffinsof Merrimack College Warriors, Canisius Golden Griffins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,684
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,684 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Canisius Golden Griffins | 25c | 1,666$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.19 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 17c | 1,436$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.2 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Merrimack College Warriors | 71c | 1,312$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.83 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Merrimack College Warriors | 76c | 1,184$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.7 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Canisius Golden Griffins | 40c | 1,126$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.88 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Canisius Golden Griffins | 18c | 949.67$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.73 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 16c | 898.42$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.95 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 18c | 828.85$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.3 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 77c | 774.38$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.46 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Canisius Golden Griffins | 27c | 636.91$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.85 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 19c | 633.41$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.06 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 27cpaid | +183.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…83b9backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 36c | 551.08$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.69 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Canisius Golden Griffins | 28c | 452.3$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.2 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Canisius Golden Griffins | 18c | 425.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.51 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Merrimack College Warriors | 70c | 373.72$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.45 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…6646backed Merrimack College Warriors | 22c | 371.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.22 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Merrimack College Warriors | 77c | 321.08$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.64 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Canisius Golden Griffins | 19c | 298.38$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.69 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Merrimack College Warriors | 51c | 291.43$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.63 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 55c | 254.09$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.09 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 10c | 229.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 16c | 216.96$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.51 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Canisius Golden Griffins | 16c | 209.7$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.86 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 17c | 199.92$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.94 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Canisius Golden Griffins | 16c | 199.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.21 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 22c | 184.46$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.11 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Canisius Golden Griffins | 28c | 156.24$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.11 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 79c | 153.33$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.9 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Canisius Golden Griffins | 16c | 151.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.38 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 20c | 149.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.73 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 64c | 141.12$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.4 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Merrimack College Warriors | 79c | 138.71$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.91 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4573…c16bbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 80c | 128.17$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Merrimack College Warriors | 49c | 124.84$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x140f…0b2ebacked Canisius Golden Griffins | 16c | 124.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.51 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Canisius Golden Griffins | 17c | 105.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.69 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…750abacked Canisius Golden Griffins | 17c | 99.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.59 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…595cbacked Canisius Golden Griffins | 17c | 90.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.91 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 35c | 85.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Merrimack College Warriors | 77c | 76.67$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.27 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…f6bfbacked Canisius Golden Griffins | 16c | 76.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.53 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…81abbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 66c | 75.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…17c4backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 19c | 61.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…3e98backed Merrimack College Warriors | 78c | 57.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 136 | 50.7%69 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 25c | 55.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…743dbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 70c | 51.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…b0a5backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 42c | 47.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Merrimack College Warriors vs. Canisius Golden Griffinsthis page
- Merrimack College Warriors vs. Canisius Golden Griffins: O/U 130.5Under won
- Merrimack College Warriors vs. Canisius Golden Griffins: O/U 131.5Under won
- Spread: Merrimack College Warriors (-10.5)Canisius Golden Griffins won
- Spread: Merrimack College Warriors (-9.5)Canisius Golden Griffins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.