MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5dfb0330f86a05e25de4a6c6180571e68deeedd0121862ec825b2c504ac501c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Rockiesof Los Angeles Dodgers, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Colorado Rockies | 37c | 2,166$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.93 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a77…4fcfbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 910.84$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.22 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2513…91fbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 760.22$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.54 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x246d…c74dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 467.17$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.32 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Colorado Rockies | 38c | 377$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.74 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Colorado Rockies | 30c | 334.49$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 221 | 54.3%120 W · 101 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55a6…eeb0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 315.23$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.44 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 61c | 282.61$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.39 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 158.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colorado Rockies | 48c | 156.61$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.54 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e1…65a4backed Colorado Rockies | 30c | 156.03$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.22 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Colorado Rockies | 44c | 117.88$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.33 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Colorado Rockies | 39c | 105.22$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.11 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Colorado Rockies | 63c | 104.29$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.45 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 99.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 99.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 99.33$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.58 | 304 | 46.4%141 W · 163 L | -25.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Colorado Rockies | 24c | 83.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.34 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7271…e073backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 81$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d8…ac72backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 77.6$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7770…f99bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 70.3$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 20c | 66.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Colorado Rockies | 30c | 63.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Colorado Rockies | 24c | 63.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Colorado Rockies | 38c | 50.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 412 | 49.5%204 W · 208 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Colorado Rockies | 39c | 44.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 38c | 43.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 43.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 254 | 52%132 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac9…f5ddbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Colorado Rockies | 36c | 36.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Colorado Rockies | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8e…01f5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Colorado Rockies | 38c | 31.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2e…d2abbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 31.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 27.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 273 | 54.6%149 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 25.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Colorado Rockies | 78c | 22.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 19.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Colorado Rockies | 69c | 18.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado RockiesColorado Rockies won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado RockiesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.