South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-04-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd612a3059192371dc88f44d2ce6ebeef8925161d74bf17c1af49bfc14fba90f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,520
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,520 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes | 12c | 22,299$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650.23 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 12c | 3,930$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.54 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 19c | 3,515$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 4c | 1,306$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 73c | 1,224$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.19 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea7…0607backed Yes | 9c | 1,200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…b5b2backed Yes | 3c | 999.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1317backed Yes | 29c | 990.41$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.22 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 13c | 859.6$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.41 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 11c | 851.86$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.67 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 78c | 760.21$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.3 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84bb…25d3backed Yes | 15c | 613.32$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.56 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d55…f50cbacked Yes | 12c | 453.24$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.71 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 12c | 398.61$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.14 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 12c | 394.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 76c | 389.05$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.37 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad32…e1e9backed No | 76c | 338.06$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 12c | 331.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x764d…96aebacked Yes | 12c | 310.21$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 99 | 25.3%25 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes | 6c | 299.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377b…adf7backed Yes | 7c | 259.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 12c | 251.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes | 27c | 228.71$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.48 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 18c | 217.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 12c | 213.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 138 | 14.5%20 W · 118 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 12c | 197.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 22c | 142.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf3…80abbacked Yes | 10c | 135.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 18c | 131.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 11c | 131.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe868…7c4fbacked Yes | 13c | 93.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed No | 75c | 69.11$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 105 | 64.8%68 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 31c | 61.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa823…3327backed Yes | 24c | 43.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 74c | 33.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 74c | 26.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…b28bbacked No | 80c | 24.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-04-24?this page
- Will Racing Club vs. CA Barracas Central end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Racing Club win on 2026-04-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.