Euroleague · resolved market
Real Madrid vs. Basquet Club Andorra
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd786da9655e641f0ae76969dd15dd3ff98748daaa6aa10c48277c07a0421849b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Madridof Real Madrid, Basquet Club Andorra
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,560
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Basquet Club Andorra | 14c | 2,351$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.25 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Basquet Club Andorra | 7c | 812.79$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.77 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Basquet Club Andorra | 9c | 771.81$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.4 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Basquet Club Andorra | 30c | 714.73$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.35 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…146abacked Real Madrid | 75c | 573.72$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.36 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 73cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Basquet Club Andorra | 15c | 500.02$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Basquet Club Andorra | 52c | 457.25$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.86 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Basquet Club Andorra | 20c | 404.37$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.87 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Basquet Club Andorra | 13c | 286.02$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Basquet Club Andorra | 8c | 256.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Basquet Club Andorra | 19c | 211.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Basquet Club Andorra | 14c | 203.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Basquet Club Andorra | 19c | 200.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Basquet Club Andorra | 6c | 199.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Basquet Club Andorra | 9c | 197.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Basquet Club Andorra | 10c | 184.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Real Madrid | 47c | 135$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.77 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Real Madrid | 79c | 112.85$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Basquet Club Andorra | 34c | 92.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Basquet Club Andorra | 22c | 90.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Real Madrid | 52c | 66.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.77 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Real Madrid | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x796d…9551backed Real Madrid | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Basquet Club Andorra | 35c | 50.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…9b16backed Real Madrid | 78c | 37.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 67cpaid | +38%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Real Madrid | 67c | 36.27$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Real Madrid | 74c | 32.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Real Madrid | 45c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Real Madrid | 45c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Real Madrid | 80c | 21.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.