Asian League · resolved market
Will NEOM SC win on 2026-02-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8668d573f197d72cb3a1e804d1e13c9a25bdc7d5a67b9778570faf61c997036
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,763
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,763 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed No | 48c | 7,886$3,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 49c | 6,116$2,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,997.92 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +14.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 51c | 5,916$3,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,902.8 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xae66…3d04backed Yes | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.95 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yes | 36c | 874.25$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.82 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…5f1dbacked Yes | 7c | 611$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8e…7fe3backed Yes | 31c | 547.11$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.57 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 60c | 481.87$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.15 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 43c | 474.69$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.26 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 45c | 285.57$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.18 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 9c | 200.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 243 | 48.6%118 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 922 | 35.1%324 W · 598 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 37c | 149.05$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.43 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 47c | 121$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Yes | 58c | 99.97$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.98 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 57c | 91$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.87 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 55c | 91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 57c | 75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.58 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 45c | 68.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 53c | 43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 720 | 44.2%318 W · 402 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 45c | 41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f7…1b73backed Yes | 52c | 40.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 42c | 40.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 52c | 38.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 52c | 35.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 54c | 34.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 1,109 | 46.2%512 W · 597 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 32.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec2f…c407backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 54c | 24.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NEOM SC win on 2026-02-28?this page
- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-02-28?Yes won
- Will NEOM SC vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.