Premier League · resolved market
Southampton FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd879fc84576edcd788cbc27d374f965186aaf2704d844c298ce5e2231e3dcef8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,114
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 69c | 4,463$3,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.34 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 30c | 4,029$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.96 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 78c | 506.05$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.33 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 21c | 499.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 25c | 446.9$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Over | 30c | 320.42$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.13 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 78c | 251.42$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.44 | 740 | 56.9%421 W · 319 L | +46.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 76c | 233.79$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.12 | 953 | 32.5%310 W · 643 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 19c | 211.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 60c | 198.73$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.9 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 26c | 182.47$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.44 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 62c | 157.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.71 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 24c | 143.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -18.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 80c | 120.4$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 39c | 80.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 286 | 33.9%97 W · 189 L | +19.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 76c | 73.47$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 79c | 62.39$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 316 | 48.7%154 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…56e5backed Under | 62c | 48.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe256…1dd8backed Under | 68c | 42.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd41…5afebacked Over | 51c | 30.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Under | 74c | 27.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Southampton FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Southampton FC vs. Bristol City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Southampton FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Southampton FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Southampton FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Bristol City FC (-1.5)Southampton FC won
- Spread: Bristol City FC (-2.5)Southampton FC won
- Spread: Southampton FC (-1.5)Bristol City FC won
- Spread: Southampton FC (-2.5)Bristol City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.