Tennis · resolved market
ITF Ollersbach: Michael Gloeckler vs Thilo Behrmann
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8d88af5fff53c62d4e6829191eb1d2fc5f7083a638a25301447a34dc583e2c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thilo Behrmannof Michael Gloeckler, Thilo Behrmann
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Michael Gloeckler | 15c | 18,714$2,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,784.31 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…d869backed Michael Gloeckler | 12c | 14,379$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,657.77 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa512…d113backed Michael Gloeckler | 8c | 11,463$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Michael Gloeckler | 15c | 5,094$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.82 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Michael Gloeckler | 8c | 1,867$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.84 | 242 | 28.5%69 W · 173 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Michael Gloeckler | 10c | 646.53$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.84 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Michael Gloeckler | 30c | 599.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Michael Gloeckler | 13c | 512$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.93 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Michael Gloeckler | 8c | 412.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Michael Gloeckler | 8c | 275.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Michael Gloeckler | 8c | 244.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 261 | 31.4%82 W · 179 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Michael Gloeckler | 10c | 224$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 194 | 11.9%23 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa943…bcbebacked Michael Gloeckler | 8c | 196.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…614abacked Michael Gloeckler | 11c | 182.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Michael Gloeckler | 11c | 117.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Michael Gloeckler | 11c | 116.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…f93dbacked Michael Gloeckler | 22c | 47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Thilo Behrmann | 70c | 40.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Thilo Behrmann | 69c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…767dbacked Michael Gloeckler | 33c | 35.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…a690backed Michael Gloeckler | 33c | 35.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.