Asian League · resolved market
Will FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd91594a9d8ed2c3a2b4917c4e7c5f70a318920e72f0490f58adc899285e4bd5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,657
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,657 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3170…c6a0backed Yes | 28c | 3,867$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f00…73cebacked Yes | 30c | 3,306$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 3,027$2,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.75 | 6,028 | 46.1%2,778 W · 3,250 L | +50.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 70c | 2,080$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.56 | 870 | 43%374 W · 496 L | +24.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 70c | 766.32$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.78 | 1,278 | 50.2%642 W · 636 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 71c | 540$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.3 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 75c | 471.72$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.63 | 798 | 42.4%338 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 404.76$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 1,882 | 50%941 W · 941 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce5…17f9backed Yes | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0e…8ba9backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 20c | 91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 586 | 45.4%266 W · 320 L | -23.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…2c78backed No | 70c | 86.2$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 22c | 85.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 1,575 | 35.2%554 W · 1,021 L | -36.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 17c | 72.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 287 | 46.3%133 W · 154 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e93…80d6backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8850…60b1backed No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 80 | 78.8%63 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 74cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a98…ef19backed Yes | 20c | 62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 77c | 61.49$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 72c | 56.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 245 | 59.6%146 W · 99 L | +17.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…72f2backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 1,531 | 55%842 W · 689 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 72c | 49.62$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 333 | 60.7%202 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed No | 80c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed No | 69c | 20.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed No | 71c | 15.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x862f…200bbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995 end in a draw?this page
- Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-08-25?No won
- Will FC Seoul win on 2026-08-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.