Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FK Partizan Beograd vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd93c2eca0a0ac2c21cac1491963b769f1b457b5d4e9ba10fd29862de817288b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,092
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,092 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 49c | 3,815$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,853.54 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 48c | 2,998$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.4 | 384 | 31.5%121 W · 263 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…7070backed Yes | 13c | 1,750$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.17 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 29c | 1,428$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.12 | 144 | 34.7%50 W · 94 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…d338backed Yes | 13c | 1,193$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 72c | 1,174$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.1 | 659 | 43.9%289 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 17c | 935$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.95 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 75c | 872.59$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.78 | 85 | 74.1%63 W · 22 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 829.85$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.66 | 1,290 | 49.1%633 W · 657 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 681.98$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.31 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 439.43$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.43 | 772 | 48.8%377 W · 395 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 69c | 388.34$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.61 | 851 | 42%357 W · 494 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Yes | 4c | 299.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf767…c94bbacked Yes | 29c | 262.94$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 231.74$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.21 | 725 | 50.2%364 W · 361 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x294f…eeabbacked Yes | 41c | 217.59$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.21 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed No | 68c | 156$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 24c | 152.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 1,222 | 45.3%553 W · 669 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 21c | 151.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…7fcdbacked Yes | 41c | 139.44$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.17 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 62c | 132.18$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.87 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 77c | 108.37$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 39c | 97.61$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 147 | 49%72 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 32c | 77.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 303 | 45.2%137 W · 166 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed No | 72c | 71.42$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd494…bfafbacked Yes | 28c | 71.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Yes | 55c | 67.59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.17 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa887…111ebacked Yes | 21c | 57.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 72c | 52.19$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…9ccbbacked Yes | 24c | 41.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 33.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1,034 | 50.8%525 W · 509 L | +16.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 1,793 | 54.8%983 W · 810 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 69c | 24.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39f9…fcc3backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Yes | 52c | 19.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Partizan Beograd vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?this page
- Will FK Partizan Beograd win on 2026-08-27?Yes won
- Will Getafe CF win on 2026-08-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.