Tennis · resolved market
Abidjan 2: Sasikumar Mukund vs Mert Alkaya
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9c2b7251cb7279052dc8c8adf32acd5a65153512d0457a1ef6f19d89ea31109
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mert Alkayaof Sasikumar Mukund, Mert Alkaya
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,301
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,301 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked Sasikumar Mukund | 34c | 2,939$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.47 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Sasikumar Mukund | 15c | 2,531$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.6 | 975 | 7.9%77 W · 898 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…bb94backed Sasikumar Mukund | 18c | 2,380$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.85 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d99…9675backed Sasikumar Mukund | 29c | 1,371$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.52 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Sasikumar Mukund | 15c | 1,263$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.86 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Sasikumar Mukund | 15c | 1,247$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.77 | 360 | 32.5%117 W · 243 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Sasikumar Mukund | 25c | 1,206$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.4 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Mert Alkaya | 77c | 1,100$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 369 | 61.8%228 W · 141 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Mert Alkaya | 79c | 1,072$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.17 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sasikumar Mukund | 17c | 726.82$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.5 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224e…f7ddbacked Sasikumar Mukund | 21c | 673.94$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.12 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Sasikumar Mukund | 12c | 550.34$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.07 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Mert Alkaya | 80c | 466.12$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.42 | 567 | 54.5%309 W · 258 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Mert Alkaya | 79c | 456.46$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.66 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Mert Alkaya | 77c | 432.03$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.42 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…4b0dbacked Sasikumar Mukund | 13c | 364.54$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Sasikumar Mukund | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sasikumar Mukund | 15c | 282.38$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.38 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…626dbacked Sasikumar Mukund | 27c | 222.63$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.06 | 279 | 36.2%101 W · 178 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Sasikumar Mukund | 24c | 197.65$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Mert Alkaya | 79c | 195.54$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.74 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -13.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…9d62backed Mert Alkaya | 80c | 185.6$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.42 | 352 | 48.6%171 W · 181 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Sasikumar Mukund | 17c | 177.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 130 | 33.8%44 W · 86 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sasikumar Mukund | 16c | 173.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Sasikumar Mukund | 14c | 170.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa74c…1f49backed Mert Alkaya | 75c | 166.66$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.66 | 146 | 74%108 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 75cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Sasikumar Mukund | 24c | 145.79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 348 | 47.1%164 W · 184 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c7…febcbacked Mert Alkaya | 78c | 143.67$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.97 | 74 | 74.3%55 W · 19 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…7889backed Mert Alkaya | 70c | 134.06$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.58 | 560 | 70.7%396 W · 164 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Mert Alkaya | 80c | 127.24$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 287 | 53%152 W · 135 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Mert Alkaya | 73c | 122.49$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.96 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…4b19backed Sasikumar Mukund | 13c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Sasikumar Mukund | 19c | 118.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 2,135 | 56%1,195 W · 940 L | +41.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Sasikumar Mukund | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Sasikumar Mukund | 15c | 98.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 465 | 44.3%206 W · 259 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sasikumar Mukund | 15c | 97.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Sasikumar Mukund | 14c | 82.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 369 | 44.4%164 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa888…e98cbacked Mert Alkaya | 79c | 80.93$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 164 | 59.1%97 W · 67 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d04…022bbacked Sasikumar Mukund | 17c | 76.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 145 | 31.7%46 W · 99 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Mert Alkaya | 75c | 74.23$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Mert Alkaya | 74c | 67.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 502 | 59%296 W · 206 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Mert Alkaya | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 749 | 55.1%413 W · 336 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Sasikumar Mukund | 18c | 56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Mert Alkaya | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 246 | 32.9%81 W · 165 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed Sasikumar Mukund | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 194 | 74.7%145 W · 49 L | +34.2wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Mert Alkaya | 70c | 33.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Mert Alkaya | 66c | 32.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +4.2wins | +0.28per pick | 65cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc287…6d47backed Mert Alkaya | 77c | 27.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 153 | 32%49 W · 104 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…5eeabacked Mert Alkaya | 77c | 25.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 230 | 73.9%170 W · 60 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 78cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked Mert Alkaya | 67c | 23.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 306 | 72.9%223 W · 83 L | +27.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Mert Alkaya | 71c | 22.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 181 | 32.6%59 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Mert Alkaya | 68c | 21.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 322 | 40.7%131 W · 191 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Mert Alkaya | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 257 | 37%95 W · 162 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd34…d28ebacked Mert Alkaya | 68c | 19.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Mert Alkaya | 78c | 15.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.