CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs Johnny Speeds (BO1) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda26bde7c64a415b4e6141017107afe45a5d6a0a8642d75c5d33e5944699a2be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ECSTATICof ECSTATIC, Johnny Speeds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,224
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,224 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x64f7…afa6backed ECSTATIC | 42c | 4,883$2,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850.25 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Johnny Speeds | 61c | 2,181$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.42 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Johnny Speeds | 44c | 1,664$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.13 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Johnny Speeds | 46c | 1,366$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.58 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Johnny Speeds | 44c | 595.09$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.84 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Johnny Speeds | 58c | 533.46$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.11 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed ECSTATIC | 56c | 522.25$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.18 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Johnny Speeds | 40c | 397.54$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.08 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Johnny Speeds | 55c | 351.51$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.22 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed ECSTATIC | 68c | 303.33$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.53 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed ECSTATIC | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Johnny Speeds | 43c | 200.91$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.2 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Johnny Speeds | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 168 | 29.2%49 W · 119 L | -14.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Johnny Speeds | 39c | 174.32$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.09 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Johnny Speeds | 37c | 165.81$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.87 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Johnny Speeds | 37c | 159$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0256…2b78backed ECSTATIC | 64c | 152.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 67cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Johnny Speeds | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Johnny Speeds | 16c | 142.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked ECSTATIC | 60c | 142.47$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked ECSTATIC | 56c | 130.39$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.37 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc78…a301backed Johnny Speeds | 44c | 121.61$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.51 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Johnny Speeds | 54c | 112.85$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.97 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed ECSTATIC | 64c | 101.62$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.69 | 230 | 72.6%167 W · 63 L | +27.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked ECSTATIC | 49c | 99.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked ECSTATIC | 51c | 97.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Johnny Speeds | 15c | 92.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Johnny Speeds | 31c | 72.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed ECSTATIC | 48c | 58.54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Johnny Speeds | 28c | 52.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e0…cf2dbacked Johnny Speeds | 53c | 49.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed ECSTATIC | 47c | 40.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8a…89e9backed Johnny Speeds | 50c | 39.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdffe…b4d3backed Johnny Speeds | 52c | 38.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 146 | 30.8%45 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Johnny Speeds | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked ECSTATIC | 50c | 37.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1634…b32fbacked ECSTATIC | 55c | 35.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked ECSTATIC | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked ECSTATIC | 50c | 29.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed ECSTATIC | 44c | 27.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ECSTATIC | 63c | 26.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c5…4397backed Johnny Speeds | 49c | 20.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x53ae…f71ebacked Johnny Speeds | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.