Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda47c9eec97fd886415bdb566d5f1fcaf9da9c3f1ef465a7fc804c54c9a7e51f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eintracht Spandauof Eintracht Spandau, Eintracht Frankfurt
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,003
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,003 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 43c | 1,659$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.32 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Eintracht Spandau | 57c | 933$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.19 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 45c | 640.72$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.65 | 498 | 47.2%235 W · 263 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Eintracht Spandau | 55c | 334.69$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.83 | 647 | 49.9%323 W · 324 L | -24.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Eintracht Spandau | 55c | 292.81$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.86 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 50c | 229.52$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.51 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Eintracht Spandau | 48c | 166.4$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.22 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Eintracht Spandau | 58c | 151.91$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 376 | 41.8%157 W · 219 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Eintracht Spandau | 51c | 150.09$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.54 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…c9ffbacked Eintracht Spandau | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 633 | 52%329 W · 304 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Eintracht Spandau | 55c | 139.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.8 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed Eintracht Spandau | 59c | 129.09$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 237 | 48.5%115 W · 122 L | -15.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x109b…935fbacked Eintracht Spandau | 62c | 121.98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.35 | 282 | 61%172 W · 110 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Eintracht Spandau | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 390 | 56.4%220 W · 170 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 38c | 110.53$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 238 | 31.5%75 W · 163 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed Eintracht Spandau | 57c | 104.61$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.98 | 392 | 66.6%261 W · 131 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2171…01acbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 51c | 88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed Eintracht Spandau | 58c | 86.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.91 | 512 | 47.3%242 W · 270 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 38c | 81.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…836dbacked Eintracht Spandau | 57c | 47.46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Eintracht Spandau | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc8…d12ebacked Eintracht Spandau | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 75 | 69.3%52 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Eintracht Spandau | 63c | 29.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 54c | 19.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 159 | 56%89 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+1.5)this page
- LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Eintracht Spandau (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group BEintracht Spandau won
- LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 WinnerEintracht Spandau won
- LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 WinnerEintracht Spandau won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.