Fifa International · resolved market
Saša Kalajdžić: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda69fb0215414bf3de2954780b24b9e61ce7c5ce1bca192fe25ffb82f6d2240a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 69c | 600$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes | 31c | 600$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 60c | 207.19$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.87 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd003…0113backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 63c | 74.14$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 64c | 55.49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Yes | 36c | 49.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 166 | 29.5%49 W · 117 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37b5…b6c8backed Yes | 42c | 49.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 115 | 26.1%30 W · 85 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9429…fd87backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Saša Kalajdžić: 1+ goalsthis page
- Alessandro Schöpf: 2+ goalsNo won
- Carney Chukwuemeka: 1+ goalsNo won
- Konrad Laimer: 1+ goalsNo won
- Marcel Sabitzer: 1+ assistsNo won
- Marcel Sabitzer: 1+ goalsNo won
- Marcel Sabitzer: 2+ goalsNo won
- Marko Arnautovic: 1+ goalsYes won
- Marko Arnautovic: 1+ shotsYes won
- Marko Arnautovic: 2+ shotsYes won
- Michael Gregoritsch: 1+ goalsNo won
- Romano Schmid: 1+ goalsYes won
- Saša Kalajdžić: 1+ assistsNo won
- Stefan Posch: 1+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.