Premier League · resolved market
Will Sheffield United FC vs. Swansea City AFC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda8e7eaadf03c4b3beb52dfb8e9d2f1b441eec1d43db4564b44fa75d2c376618
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,954
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,153
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,954 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea32…8870backed Yes | 35c | 5,933$2,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,856.38 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 52c | 1,851$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.97 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 1,156$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.79 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 78c | 1,088$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.18 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Yes | 5c | 740.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.77 | 91 | 13.2%12 W · 79 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 74c | 682.34$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.66 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 27c | 649.39$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.88 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 70c | 572.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.29 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 26c | 500.22$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.16 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 65c | 483.76$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 65c | 483.63$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 235 | 56.2%132 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 31c | 454.74$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 34 | 82.4%28 W · 6 L | +7.1wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +44%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 65c | 451.01$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.28 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 63c | 403$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.42 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 65c | 389$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.49 | 167 | 57.5%96 W · 71 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 38c | 330.85$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.12 | 160 | 24.4%39 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 32c | 323.06$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.14 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked No | 68c | 318.8$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.39 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe828…82d1backed Yes | 67c | 298.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.95 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed Yes | 24c | 289.4$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.94 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 67c | 268.13$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.77 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 25c | 216.49$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.37 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 74c | 209.92$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.34 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…c97cbacked No | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 74c | 199.25$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.45 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 179.17$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.38 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked No | 76c | 175.61$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.7 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 19c | 167.65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.65 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 64c | 158.5$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.49 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 64c | 158.23$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.49 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 70c | 148.81$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.24 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 35c | 140$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 26c | 108.09$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.99 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 72c | 104$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.64 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked No | 36c | 94.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 82.86$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.47 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 16c | 72.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.84 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 67c | 68.58$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.74 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Yes | 67c | 64.2$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 32c | 62.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.66 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 60.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…638cbacked Yes | 20c | 57.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 74c | 54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed No | 69c | 49.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 70c | 49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 25c | 45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 93 | 31.2%29 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 72c | 44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6989…3dd3backed No | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc38e…dce8backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 37c | 39.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cc…1958backed No | 70c | 39.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked No | 44c | 35.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…f1c7backed Yes | 75c | 33.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed No | 67c | 32.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…fbedbacked Yes | 67c | 29.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7190…00e7backed No | 75c | 29.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes | 74c | 28.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 72c | 26.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Yes | 52c | 26.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 36 | 80.6%29 W · 7 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…118dbacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 66c | 19.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 209 | 56%117 W · 92 L | +15.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 70c | 18.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed No | 65c | 18.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sheffield United FC vs. Swansea City AFC end in a draw?this page
- Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-04-03?No won
- Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-04-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.