Tennis · resolved market
The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Karman Thandi vs Sofia Johnson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdab7d697612bd3bd8c9d90237cf8fb49f62a86f1f038d1b3a09cee81b1d0f245
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sofia Johnsonof Karman Thandi, Sofia Johnson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,602
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,602 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Karman Thandi | 20c | 8,105$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.04 | 941 | 40.6%382 W · 559 L | -31.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf37b…4edabacked Karman Thandi | 1c | 1,650$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Karman Thandi | 18c | 1,290$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.29 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Karman Thandi | 3c | 1,187$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Karman Thandi | 23c | 763$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.78 | 179 | 31.8%57 W · 122 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd026…a303backed Sofia Johnson | 78c | 384.68$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.68 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 71cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…befabacked Sofia Johnson | 78c | 383.97$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.97 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 75cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Karman Thandi | 18c | 351.48$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.77 | 1,476 | 43.8%647 W · 829 L | -26.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Karman Thandi | 20c | 338.19$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.64 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Sofia Johnson | 80c | 199$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Sofia Johnson | 76c | 196$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 980 | 55.4%543 W · 437 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Karman Thandi | 21c | 186.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Sofia Johnson | 80c | 141.1$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…0685backed Sofia Johnson | 72c | 127.25$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Karman Thandi | 22c | 122.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Karman Thandi | 28c | 109.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Karman Thandi | 28c | 87.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Sofia Johnson | 80c | 63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Sofia Johnson | 80c | 62.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 235 | 81.7%192 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 80cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Karman Thandi | 21c | 50.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 1,745 | 48.1%840 W · 905 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…b45dbacked Sofia Johnson | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 223 | 77.6%173 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c55…3408backed Sofia Johnson | 79c | 39.49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Sofia Johnson | 78c | 36.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 1,022 | 57.8%591 W · 431 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Sofia Johnson | 73c | 32.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 396 | 48%190 W · 206 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Sofia Johnson | 78c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…a618backed Sofia Johnson | 80c | 24.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…1fd2backed Sofia Johnson | 80c | 23.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 169 | 64.5%109 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…b79fbacked Sofia Johnson | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 98 | 67.3%66 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f92…7379backed Sofia Johnson | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 181 | 69.1%125 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…b5e9backed Sofia Johnson | 78c | 18.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 231 | 62.8%145 W · 86 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4f…5ec9backed Sofia Johnson | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Karman Thandi vs Sofia Johnsonthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Thandi vs JohnsonJohnson won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.