Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb0ea7c7c96d2f014d4b0c639757b1488a3df34b737c0381a8de0e50d25e9a28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BNK FEARXof Dplus KIA, BNK FEARX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed BNK FEARX | 55c | 14,600$8,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,552 | 597 | 50.4%301 W · 296 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Dplus KIA | 45c | 14,181$6,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,370.92 | 537 | 50.5%271 W · 266 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Dplus KIA | 44c | 9,318$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 487 | 42.3%206 W · 281 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed BNK FEARX | 56c | 6,667$3,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,933.31 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc04e…75d9backed BNK FEARX | 57c | 5,564$3,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,392.7 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Dplus KIA | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 675 | 52.4%354 W · 321 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked BNK FEARX | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.99 | 445 | 50.1%223 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked BNK FEARX | 34c | 3,521$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,332.79 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Dplus KIA | 67c | 3,028$2,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,042.44 | 219 | 53.9%118 W · 101 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked BNK FEARX | 54c | 2,328$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.87 | 1,502 | 50.3%756 W · 746 L | +71.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58ce…f916backed Dplus KIA | 46c | 2,174$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.47 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd12c…ed3dbacked Dplus KIA | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.98 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b98…d011backed Dplus KIA | 2c | 1,098$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Dplus KIA | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 474 | 55.3%262 W · 212 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed BNK FEARX | 56c | 999.97$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.99 | 1,184 | 44.4%526 W · 658 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Dplus KIA | 44c | 859.68$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.54 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ec…64b6backed Dplus KIA | 59c | 496.85$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.14 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Dplus KIA | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 1,265 | 42.8%541 W · 724 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x690d…70adbacked Dplus KIA | 44c | 361.36$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed BNK FEARX | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 757 | 38.6%292 W · 465 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed BNK FEARX | 67c | 289.92$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.69 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Dplus KIA | 43c | 272$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.96 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba8…d72bbacked Dplus KIA | 42c | 263.19$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.54 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked BNK FEARX | 58c | 253.19$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.34 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed BNK FEARX | 57c | 230$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.9 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Dplus KIA | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e83…a620backed Dplus KIA | 44c | 220.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…0e56backed Dplus KIA | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed BNK FEARX | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed BNK FEARX | 56c | 200$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 1,182 | 44.8%530 W · 652 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Dplus KIA | 44c | 193.18$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 286 | 52.8%151 W · 135 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked BNK FEARX | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 205 | 46.3%95 W · 110 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked BNK FEARX | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b4…2ce6backed Dplus KIA | 46c | 171.74$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed BNK FEARX | 57c | 157.89$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.89 | 479 | 33.6%161 W · 318 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7456…5148backed BNK FEARX | 58c | 155.29$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.3 | 138 | 36.2%50 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked BNK FEARX | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 605 | 38.8%235 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…0c86backed Dplus KIA | 44c | 147.73$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Dplus KIA | 42c | 123.29$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.78 | 252 | 43.7%110 W · 142 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x429c…a974backed Dplus KIA | 62c | 117.18$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.46 | 167 | 54.5%91 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked BNK FEARX | 58c | 102.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.89 | 612 | 56.2%344 W · 268 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed BNK FEARX | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 584 | 37.2%217 W · 367 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc76e…caa5backed BNK FEARX | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 313 | 52.4%164 W · 149 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Dplus KIA | 34c | 87.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 225 | 65.3%147 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Dplus KIA | 41c | 85.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked BNK FEARX | 61c | 82.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 843 | 60.1%507 W · 336 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed BNK FEARX | 57c | 70.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb03…46dcbacked Dplus KIA | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Dplus KIA | 43c | 68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked BNK FEARX | 57c | 66.28$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 320 | 53.8%172 W · 148 L | +21.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775b…d38abacked Dplus KIA | 44c | 65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked BNK FEARX | 39c | 64.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 1,143 | 30.8%352 W · 791 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e3…c540backed BNK FEARX | 64c | 59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 151 | 46.4%70 W · 81 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2547…8b5cbacked Dplus KIA | 46c | 52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbef9…d257backed Dplus KIA | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Dplus KIA | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6392…52ddbacked Dplus KIA | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 424 | 48.8%207 W · 217 L | +16.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Dplus KIA | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 360 | 48.9%176 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Dplus KIA | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc453…31f5backed BNK FEARX | 56c | 44.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…bb8abacked Dplus KIA | 43c | 44.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 218 | 59.2%129 W · 89 L | +26.1wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +18%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Dplus KIA | 28c | 43.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1,608 | 17.5%282 W · 1,326 L | -245.3wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Dplus KIA | 45c | 42.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 499 | 47.1%235 W · 264 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed BNK FEARX | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f7…e591backed BNK FEARX | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 207 | 48.3%100 W · 107 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Dplus KIA | 66c | 39.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 1,181 | 66%780 W · 401 L | +70.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Dplus KIA | 44c | 38.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…8ec8backed BNK FEARX | 41c | 36.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 185 | 55.1%102 W · 83 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Dplus KIA | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d45…c60ebacked BNK FEARX | 52c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Dplus KIA | 42c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 2,240 | 37.3%836 W · 1,404 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…84aabacked Dplus KIA | 44c | 22.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 380 | 51.1%194 W · 186 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed BNK FEARX | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Dplus KIA won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 WinnerDplus KIA won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.