Lol · resolved market
LoL: Forsaken vs Lodis - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb51ce4eb64df354408d0c5a2e4010adea24bd6856075ad9b5c64b7e19f3fea7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Forsakenof Forsaken, Lodis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,887
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,887 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Forsaken | 42c | 4,891$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,826.12 | 510 | 44.1%225 W · 285 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Lodis | 46c | 4,607$2,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,128.27 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Lodis | 58c | 992.69$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.3 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lodis | 38c | 600$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.8 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Lodis | 24c | 598.31$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.49 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Forsaken | 37c | 499.99$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.87 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +33.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Forsaken | 75c | 466.67$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 438 | 39.7%174 W · 264 L | -24.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Lodis | 15c | 365$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 92 | 27.2%25 W · 67 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 16cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Forsaken | 22c | 357.16$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.89 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Forsaken | 51c | 341$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.83 | 742 | 50.5%375 W · 367 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Lodis | 32c | 308.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94ba…001dbacked Lodis | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 13cpaid | +113.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Lodis | 14c | 243$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed Lodis | 16c | 233$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 91 | 15.4%14 W · 77 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Lodis | 11c | 224$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 786 | 9.8%77 W · 709 L | +22.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Lodis | 18c | 223.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.09 | 430 | 40.9%176 W · 254 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Lodis | 46c | 208.7$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238d…eb74backed Lodis | 12c | 207.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 87 | 18.4%16 W · 71 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed Forsaken | 48c | 207.78$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.78 | 801 | 50.7%406 W · 395 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Lodis | 33c | 200$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 350 | 48%168 W · 182 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Lodis | 18c | 200$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 387 | 43.9%170 W · 217 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Lodis | 46c | 193.48$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 390 | 55.4%216 W · 174 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Forsaken | 26c | 183.88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.56 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee1…f616backed Lodis | 26c | 174$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Lodis | 74c | 170$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.63 | 566 | 50%283 W · 283 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Lodis | 17c | 159$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 1,079 | 26%281 W · 798 L | -99.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Lodis | 23c | 158.82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 726 | 37.7%274 W · 452 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Lodis | 46c | 152.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +30%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Forsaken | 25c | 144.1$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.81 | 698 | 41.8%292 W · 406 L | +46.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lodis | 56c | 143.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Lodis | 21c | 142$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 548 | 24.3%133 W · 415 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Forsaken | 25c | 139$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.52 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf28…db5dbacked Lodis | 63c | 124$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.73 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked Lodis | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 299 | 42.8%128 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Forsaken | 45c | 99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.27 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Forsaken | 79c | 98.32$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c35…7764backed Forsaken | 78c | 93.21$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Lodis | 21c | 87.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 476 | 30.7%146 W · 330 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…2d79backed Lodis | 24c | 84.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Lodis | 60c | 83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 1,638 | 46.7%765 W · 873 L | -26.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Lodis | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 607 | 38.7%235 W · 372 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Lodis | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 597 | 40.7%243 W · 354 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Forsaken | 22c | 77.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.51 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed Forsaken | 26c | 76.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.59 | 527 | 43.5%229 W · 298 L | +32.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Lodis | 41c | 75.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lodis | 20c | 65.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Forsaken | 77c | 59.78$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Lodis | 51c | 54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 342 | 35.7%122 W · 220 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Forsaken | 31c | 51.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Lodis | 25c | 51.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Lodis | 46c | 50.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…aad4backed Forsaken | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 126 | 61.9%78 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Forsaken | 59c | 44.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 505 | 49.3%249 W · 256 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4371…0511backed Lodis | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Lodis | 44c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 181 | 16%29 W · 152 L | -17.8wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6c…620bbacked Forsaken | 57c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 325 | 66.5%216 W · 109 L | +26.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Forsaken | 80c | 15.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.06 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Forsaken vs Lodis - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: FSK (-1.5) vs Lodis (+1.5)Lodis won
- LoL: Forsaken vs Lodis (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular SeasonForsaken won
- LoL: Forsaken vs Lodis - Game 1 WinnerLodis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.