Other European Leagues · resolved market
SC Braga vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb8a3e16d05e23579b598ce4c07b4c68f6bc843713ea3ad27230c0cdc9f45d9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,762
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,762 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 64c | 2,715$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.34 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 69c | 2,091$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.41 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f9…b9c5backed Over | 30c | 2,000$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 29c | 1,716$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 43c | 1,053$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.81 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 42c | 431$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.98 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 65c | 420.06$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.11 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 364.61$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.87 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 58c | 306$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.48 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 134 | 32.1%43 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 71c | 255$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Over | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Under | 66c | 151.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f2…2cb0backed Under | 69c | 145.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26c…b7cabacked Under | 45c | 130$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +230.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49bc…0413backed Over | 47c | 119.15$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 39c | 102.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 43c | 75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…e679backed Under | 42c | 68.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.79 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 44c | 65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 76c | 64.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 51c | 58.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Over | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 53c | 47.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Over | 44c | 45.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 41c | 41.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 59c | 40.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 43c | 23.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 55c | 20.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Braga vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 2.5this page
- SC Braga vs. Estoril Praia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SC Braga vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Braga vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Braga vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)Estoril Praia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.