Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27f2897b520167ce9f114127ae6e89ecfbc0b0c7bfc73aeeb8909daac59b859f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Estoril Praiaof SC Braga, Estoril Praia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked SC Braga | 38c | 7,899$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Estoril Praia | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Estoril Praia | 62c | 921.09$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.02 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Estoril Praia | 70c | 709.28$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.28 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Estoril Praia | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Estoril Praia | 62c | 487.5$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.25 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked SC Braga | 29c | 415.38$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.46 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Estoril Praia | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Estoril Praia | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Estoril Praia | 65c | 378.39$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.69 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed SC Braga | 35c | 368.5$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.05 | 134 | 32.1%43 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Estoril Praia | 62c | 344$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.46 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Estoril Praia | 62c | 292$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed SC Braga | 31c | 289.88$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.36 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Estoril Praia | 69c | 239.5$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Estoril Praia | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Estoril Praia | 65c | 130$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked SC Braga | 35c | 130$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked SC Braga | 32c | 130$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 79 | 10.1%8 W · 71 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Estoril Praia | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Estoril Praia | 64c | 72.64$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.15 | 70 | 75.7%53 W · 17 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Estoril Praia | 68c | 58.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed SC Braga | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Estoril Praia | 67c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked SC Braga | 32c | 44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Estoril Praia | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed SC Braga | 31c | 36.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed SC Braga | 40c | 33.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Estoril Praia | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce3…1a0dbacked Estoril Praia | 68c | 24.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)this page
- SC Braga vs. Estoril Praia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SC Braga vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Braga vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 2.5Under won
- SC Braga vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Braga vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.