Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: QT DIG∞ vs Insomnia (BO3) - VCL Japan: Phase 1
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc10191df2215e59707bab0d74caf296fcc1834c951fbc571f5c3a93d207478f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- QT DIG∞of QT DIG∞, Insomnia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,882
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked QT DIG∞ | 59c | 5,587$3,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,309.62 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Insomnia | 42c | 3,200$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342 | 166 | 39.2%65 W · 101 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Insomnia | 40c | 1,650$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 417 | 34.8%145 W · 272 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Insomnia | 42c | 490.48$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked QT DIG∞ | 58c | 481$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.02 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6c…d38ebacked Insomnia | 42c | 435.71$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Insomnia | 42c | 383$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.73 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…c930backed Insomnia | 45c | 317.53$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.32 | 212 | 57.1%121 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked QT DIG∞ | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe01f…ab4abacked Insomnia | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 254 | 44.9%114 W · 140 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Insomnia | 22c | 217.7$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed QT DIG∞ | 59c | 203.68$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.51 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed Insomnia | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed QT DIG∞ | 73c | 142.13$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Insomnia | 40c | 138.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.21 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed QT DIG∞ | 78c | 117.96$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed QT DIG∞ | 58c | 95.91$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Insomnia | 30c | 83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked QT DIG∞ | 60c | 81.37$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Insomnia | 29c | 78.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed QT DIG∞ | 58c | 77.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed QT DIG∞ | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 156 | 42.3%66 W · 90 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed QT DIG∞ | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed QT DIG∞ | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed QT DIG∞ | 78c | 43.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Insomnia | 39c | 42.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Insomnia | 42c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Insomnia | 29c | 41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed Insomnia | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked QT DIG∞ | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…5fa2backed QT DIG∞ | 57c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed QT DIG∞ | 58c | 32.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed QT DIG∞ | 58c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Insomnia | 42c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Insomnia | 42c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…f35abacked QT DIG∞ | 60c | 23.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cab…e022backed QT DIG∞ | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4dc…0e2ebacked QT DIG∞ | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.