Premier League · resolved market
Leicester City FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc24c11cfb5758a8ead740f52008a369c9e39037f82942e67fcc16f728f4a2b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,553
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 53c | 1,043$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 576.01$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.52 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 72c | 482.89$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.29 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 52c | 267.19$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.94 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 235.01$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.48 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 49c | 102$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under | 51c | 102$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 48c | 95.35$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.58 | 157 | 38.9%61 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed Under | 49c | 93.03$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.45 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Under | 48c | 90.24$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 66c | 86.78$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked Under | 50c | 86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 79.62$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 27c | 76.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Under | 47c | 76.28$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.43 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 66c | 65.15$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 48c | 53.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 47c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -56%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 49c | 32.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Over | 53c | 28.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 223 | 56.5%126 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ed…8930backed Under | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff5…a8d3backed Under | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x213d…e451backed Over | 50c | 24.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d90…ab96backed Over | 50c | 24.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe399…13bfbacked Over | 52c | 24.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8324…333fbacked Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…9c39backed Under | 51c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf801…156cbacked Over | 52c | 22.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b1…987abacked Under | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd576…c3a8backed Under | 48c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3819…0a3bbacked Under | 48c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a76…a276backed Over | 49c | 21.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b7…2c83backed Over | 50c | 21.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb10…da5abacked Over | 51c | 21.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0c…bcf4backed Over | 52c | 21.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc895…5599backed Over | 50c | 21.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x537e…e651backed Over | 52c | 21.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad7…63a1backed Over | 50c | 21.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…2b2dbacked Under | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b23…3f77backed Under | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…2ea2backed Over | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 296 | 44.6%132 W · 164 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2e…c61ebacked Over | 52c | 19.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Leicester City FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 2.5this page
- Leicester City FC vs. Swansea City AFC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Leicester City FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Leicester City FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Leicester City FC (-1.5)Swansea City AFC won
- Spread: Swansea City AFC (-1.5)Leicester City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.