Cricket · resolved market
T20 Series Hong Kong vs Kuwait: Hong Kong, China vs Kuwait
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc3bf8a6eb054107c75f384c3244e381e7e083e1ce74334f64f443e9946081bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hong Kong, Chinaof Hong Kong, China, Kuwait
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Kuwait | 0c | 8,831$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97d1…7d7dbacked Kuwait | 27c | 6,875$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.76 | 328 | 46.3%152 W · 176 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a45…723fbacked Kuwait | 2c | 6,158$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.17 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Kuwait | 1c | 4,662$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x314e…af4ebacked Hong Kong, China | 79c | 3,132$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.52 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Kuwait | 11c | 2,963$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.29 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfecd…e7ebbacked Kuwait | 7c | 2,525$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.75 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1e…2f7bbacked Kuwait | 1c | 2,100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 42 | 7.1%3 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Kuwait | 11c | 1,878$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.82 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kuwait | 20c | 1,620$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.86 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Kuwait | 12c | 1,103$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.72 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Kuwait | 6c | 540.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…9dd0backed Kuwait | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 115 | 24.3%28 W · 87 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3568…c765backed Hong Kong, China | 51c | 480.52$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.18 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed Hong Kong, China | 76c | 396.69$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.23 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Kuwait | 45c | 394.61$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.98 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Hong Kong, China | 51c | 391.11$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.56 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Hong Kong, China | 44c | 363.64$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.36 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Hong Kong, China | 44c | 343.01$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.51 | 194 | 50%97 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4a…9d39backed Kuwait | 32c | 339.96$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.79 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x644a…7851backed Hong Kong, China | 78c | 308.99$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.03 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…3203backed Kuwait | 22c | 298.91$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.76 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Kuwait | 6c | 279.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6433…5e65backed Kuwait | 18c | 277.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Kuwait | 39c | 250$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.63 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…9ce9backed Kuwait | 26c | 198.95$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.11 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Kuwait | 50c | 198.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hong Kong, China | 46c | 172.25$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.18 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Hong Kong, China | 36c | 151.46$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.4 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8907…155ebacked Kuwait | 55c | 148.48$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Kuwait | 34c | 144$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.48 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4d…71c6backed Kuwait | 70c | 130$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…7ffabacked Hong Kong, China | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Kuwait | 24c | 110$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc5…c24ebacked Kuwait | 53c | 102.79$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1742…455bbacked Kuwait | 74c | 98.29$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d67…cf6abacked Kuwait | 64c | 89$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Kuwait | 58c | 86.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…c8cebacked Kuwait | 75c | 81.06$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.17 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336c…9e25backed Hong Kong, China | 32c | 76.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +214.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…4b30backed Hong Kong, China | 23c | 68.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Kuwait | 21c | 68.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 164 | 16.5%27 W · 137 L | -22.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xef73…7db3backed Kuwait | 15c | 68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Kuwait | 54c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 290 | 51.7%150 W · 140 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Kuwait | 34c | 53.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…d599backed Kuwait | 29c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbb…7038backed Hong Kong, China | 57c | 44.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Hong Kong, China | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffd…74bfbacked Kuwait | 57c | 39.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 68 | 17.6%12 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Kuwait | 57c | 34.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28a1…69a1backed Kuwait | 34c | 31.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Hong Kong, China | 79c | 29.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa9…2202backed Kuwait | 75c | 26.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c2…1d6ebacked Hong Kong, China | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Hong Kong, China | 70c | 24.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.