Premier League · resolved market
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-08-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdca2ed17a772c41b74fcc314da1f3faf9efc91034599a619d874211f0d2a3908
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 61c | 2,836$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,723.73 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 27c | 2,692$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.31 | 773 | 42.8%331 W · 442 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 74c | 1,766$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.85 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 39c | 922.73$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.87 | 810 | 53.6%434 W · 376 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 40c | 838.63$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 71c | 670.22$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.36 | 914 | 35.3%323 W · 591 L | -15.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 6c | 598.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 61c | 577.86$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.8 | 1,044 | 33.3%348 W · 696 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Yes | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 39c | 423.24$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.18 | 604 | 45.4%274 W · 330 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 40c | 369.85$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.91 | 1,244 | 49.4%615 W · 629 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 60c | 354$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.4 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 60c | 208$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 1,240 | 42.2%523 W · 717 L | -29.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 60c | 208$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 75c | 110.27$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x835b…118fbacked Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed Yes | 34c | 87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.42 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfff7…7c28backed No | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed No | 59c | 67.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 60c | 57.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Yes | 75c | 51.83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c46…ce9bbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Yes | 63c | 39.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x857b…8eeebacked Yes | 38c | 29.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 75c | 24.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…1b50backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-08-08?this page
- Will Swansea City AFC vs. Birmingham City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-08-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.