Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Texas Longhorns (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd092f9086edc0e27e66b76d2d26cd607384ec71e29694595e97953b9b5ff717
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oklahoma Soonersof Texas Longhorns, Oklahoma Sooners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,192 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Oklahoma Sooners | 52c | 6,593$3,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,178.09 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Texas Longhorns | 49c | 4,806$2,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,354.96 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Texas Longhorns | 48c | 4,178$2,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,005.22 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Oklahoma Sooners | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.69 | 155 | 57.4%89 W · 66 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Texas Longhorns | 48c | 641.96$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.44 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Texas Longhorns | 47c | 459.95$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.18 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Texas Longhorns | 48c | 328.52$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.6 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Oklahoma Sooners | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Oklahoma Sooners | 53c | 187.22$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.09 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Texas Longhorns | 48c | 184.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Texas Longhorns | 47c | 162.97$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.59 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Texas Longhorns | 49c | 101.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Oklahoma Sooners | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Texas Longhorns | 48c | 84.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2442…0c2bbacked Texas Longhorns | 50c | 79.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Oklahoma Sooners | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Oklahoma Sooners | 51c | 54.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Texas Longhorns | 48c | 32.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Texas Longhorns | 49c | 27.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Oklahoma Sooners | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Oklahoma Sooners | 55c | 24.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Texas Longhorns | 45c | 24.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Texas Longhorns | 50c | 22.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Texas Longhorns (-7.5)this page
- Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas LonghornsOklahoma Sooners won
- Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas Longhorns: O/U 154.5Over won
- Spread: Texas Longhorns (-6.5)Oklahoma Sooners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.